基于倒向随机微分方程的研发决策研究

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1、ResearchonR&DDeciSionBased013BackwardStochastiCDifferentiaIEquationAbstractR&Dcapabilityisviewed弱ameaSureofeconomicstrengthinmanydevelopedcountries．andtheyinvestalotinR＆D．However,ChinesecompaniespaylittleattentiontoR＆Dinvestment．Andthereisabigdifferencebetween仍rei盟enterprisesand0111"c

2、ompaniesinR&Dcapabilities．InordertoreversethisembarraSsingsituation，theMinistryofScienceandTechnologymapsouttheplantodevelopNationalKeyLaboratoryinenterprises．OurcountrywillbuildNationalKeyLaboratoryinleadingenterprisesofeveryindustry,promotingconstructionoftechnologyR&Dsystemthatisen

3、terprises-centered，market—oriented，andthatcombinesenterprise，collegeandresearchinstitutes．However,thereexistmanyunknownrisksanduncertaintiesinR&Denvironment．ThesefhctoI．SrestrictthepotentialSuccessrateofR&D．Therefore，inordertoachievethedesireddevelopmentgoals，enterprisesnotonlyneedtod

4、eveloptechnologycontinuously,butalsoneedtogetinformationtomakecorrectusagestrategyaboutresources．AndthenenterprisescanexcludethepotentialrisksanduncertaintiesinterferenceasmuchaspossibleandfulfillR&Dgoalsfasterandbetter．Thedissertationconsistsofthreeparts．dissertationintroducesrelevan

5、ttheoriesofNationalinFirstly,theKeyLaboratoryenterprisesandbackwardstochasticdifferentialequation．whichprovidestheoryfoundationandbasisforthefollowingchapters．Secondly,withthehelpofbackwardstochasticdifferentialequation，thedissertationanalyzeshowlaboratoriesshoulddoinordertoachieveunc

6、ertainbenefitsinthefuture．ThemodelCanhelplaboratoryavoidrisksduringR&Dprocess，excludeuncertainfactorsthataffectR&D，andprovidenecessaryinformationfordecisionmakers．Accordingtorelevantaction，R&DprocessoflaboratoryisoptimizedandbetterobjectiveCanbeachieved．111Finally,thedissertationdoese

7、mpiricalresearchbywritingthecaseaboutNationalKeyLaboratoryEnterprisesofdigitalhomeapplianceinHaier．Thecasestrengthensscientificityofconclusionsandverifiesapplicabilityofthemodel．Accordingtorelevantresearch，followingoutcomesandconclusionsaleobtained．First，BSDEismodeledinR&Dactivitiesof

8、Natio