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1、外文翻译原文ChangingPatternInWordTextileTradeMaterialSource:[J]AmericanEconomicReview,2007（3）Author:AyubHarAbstractTheobjectiveofthisstudyistoforecastthefuturetradepatternsandtoidentifythedeterminantsofexportsoftextileandclothing.Weincludedtop24leadingexportingcou
2、ntriesfromthetextileandclothingsectors.Thosecountriescovermorethan72percentofglobalexportsand70percentofimportsintextileandclothingsectors.Thecountriescover81percentoftheGrossWorldProduct(GWP)also.Toquantifytheimpactsofcausalfactorsonimportsandexports,wedeve
3、lopedaneconometricmodelandfoundthatfinancialliquidity,endogenousproductionofcottonandthemagnitudeofimportedrawmaterialandintermediategoodsaretheroot-causesofexportoftextileandclothingproducts.While,GDPandexportsoftextileandclothingproductsareprovedasgoodpred
4、ictorsofimportoftextileandclothingproducts.ThestudygivessurprisingresultsandmentionsthatChina,HongKongandItalywillbethenetlooser,whiletheUnitedStatesandCanadawillbethenetgainersinfuture.Keywords:textile;trade;pattern;exportTextileandclothingindustriesandtrad
5、ehavelongbeenacatalystofeconomicgrowththroughouttheworld.In2001,itaccountedforoverUS$450billionoftradeworldwide.Intermsofshareofpopulationemployedandoftotalexports,itisparticularlyimportantfordevelopingcountries(likeKorea,India,Indonesia,andMexico),especiall
6、yforsomeoftheleastdevelopingcountries(likeBangladeshandPakistan),whichhaveaveryhighdependenceontextileandclothingexports.ThetotalexportvalueinworldclothingtradewasUS$206billionin1999,with63percentsharedbythetop15exportingcountries.Chinawastheworldleader,with
7、16percentofglobalexportmarketshare,followedbyHongKongwith12percentmarketshare,andItaly,UnitedStates,Mexico,Germany,Turkey,France,KoreaandIndia.Inworldtextiletrade,thetotalexportvalueoftextileswasUS$164billionin1999,withthetop15countriessupplying74percentofth
8、eglobalexportmarketshare.TheleaderwasChina,followedbyHongKong,Germany,Italy,Korea,Taiwan,andtheUnitedStates.In1999,thetotalexportvaluesofTextileandClothingformChina,HongKongandItalywere$43billio
