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ID:13084825
大小:59.00 KB
页数:19页
时间:2018-07-20
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1、MytopiciseconomicgrowthinChinaandIndia.AndthequestionIwanttoexplorewithyouiswhetherornotdemocracyhashelpedorhashinderedeconomicgrowth.YoumaysaythisisnotfairbecauseI’mselecting2countriestomakeacaseagainstdemocracy.ActuallyexactlytheoppositeiswhatI’mgoingtodo.I’mgo
2、ingtousethese2countriestomakeaneconomicargumentfordemocracyratherthanagainstdemocracy.ThefirstquestionthereiswhyChinahasgrownsomuchfasterthanIndia?Overthelast30yearsintermsoftheGDPgrowthrates,ChinahasgrownattwicetherateofIndia.Inthelast5years,the2countrieshavebeg
3、untoconvergesomewhatineconomicgrowth.Butoverthelast30years,ChinaundoubtlyhasdonemuchbetterthanIndia.OnesimpleanswerisChinahasShanghaiandIndiahasMumbai.LookattheskylineofShanghai,thisisthePudongarea.ThepictureonIndiaistheDharaviSlumofMumbaiinIndia.Theideatherebehi
4、ndthese2picturesisthattheChinesegovernmentcanactaboveruleoflaw.Itcanplanforthelong-termbenefitsofthecountryandintheprocessevictmillionsofpeople—thatisjustasmalltechnicalissue.WhereasinIndia,youcannotdothat.Becauseyouhavetolistentothepublic.Youarebeingconstrainedb
5、ythepublic’sopinion.EvenprimeministerManmohanSinghagreeswiththatview.InaninterviewprintedinthefinancialpressofIndia,hesaidthathewantstomakeMumbaianotherShanghai.ThisisanOxford-trainedeconomiststeepedinhumanisticvaluesandyetheagreeswiththehigh-pressuretacticsofSha
6、nghai.SoletmecallttheShanghaimodelofeconomicgrowththatemphasizesthefollowingfeaturesforpromotingeconomicdevelopment:infrastructures,airports,highways,bridgesthingslikethat.Andyouneedastronggovernmenttodothatbecauseyoucannotrespectprivatepropertyrights,youcannotbe
7、constrainedbythepublicopinion.Youneedalsostateownershipespeciallyoflandassets.Inordertobuildandrolloutinfrastructuresveryquickly.Theimplicationofthatmodelisthatdemocracyisahindranceforeconomicgrowthratherthanafacilitatorofeconomicgrowth.Hereisthekeyquestion:justh
8、owimportantareinfrastructureforeconomicgrowth.Thisisakeyissue,ifyoubelievethatinfrastructuresareveryimportantforeconomicgrowth,thenyouwouldargueastronggovernme
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