2017Q4亚太经济展望 - 德勤

2017Q4亚太经济展望 - 德勤

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时间:2018-03-06

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1、AsiaPacificEconomicOutlook4thQuarter2017Q42017COVERIMAGEBYJESSICAMCCOURTAsiaPacificEconomicOutlookCONTENTSMalaysia 

2、 3PushingthepedalfasterthroughturmoilThePhilippines 

3、 7PoisedforstronggrowthagainTaiwan 

4、 13ExportgrowthbodeswellforGDPexpansionVietnam 

5、 17FastandsteadyAsianexports 

6、

7、 23Timetobetonastrongshow12AsiaPacificEconomicOutlookTheMalaysianeconomyregisteredthefastestgrowthintwoyearsfortwoconsecutivequarters,duetostrongerprivatespendingandexports.Whilethegrowthoutlookfortheeconomyhasbeenrevisedup,thereareconsiderablerisks,primarilyfrompoliticaluncertainty

8、andtheeconomy’scontinueddependenceonoilexportsforitsgrowthandrevenue.MalaysiaPushingthepedalfasterthroughturmoilByRumkiMajumdarIntroductionandsubsidiestolow-incomehouseholdsandhous-ingpackagestothecountry’smajorityethnicgroup,Afterstartingtheyearonafirmnotewithfirstwhichcushionedthe

9、fallintotalpersonalincomequartergrowthof5.6percent,Malaysiapostedevenduetoweakerwages.Ontheotherhand,improvingstrongergrowthof5.8percentinthesecondquar-globalconditionsandstrongdemandforelectronicsterof2017,beatingmarketexpectationsofaslightboostedexports,whichgrewstronglyfortheseco

10、ndslowdown(Reuters’pollforecast).1Backedbystrongconsecutivequarter,atarateof9.6percent.domesticdemand,particularlyduetoprivatesec-Onthesupplyside,themanufacturingandser-torspending,exports,andbroad-basedexpansionvicessectorsperformedrobustly,registeringannualacrossallmajorsectors,ec

11、onomicgrowthwasthegrowthof6.0percentand6.3percent,respectively,fastestintwoyears.inQ2.Double-digitgrowthinmanufacturingprod-Privateconsumptiongrew7.1percentandpri-uctsalesandretailtradesinceFebruary2017andanvateinvestmentgrew7.4percentannuallyinQ2above-20.0percentgrowthingoodsexport

12、sinthe2017.Inlargepart,theunexpectedstrengthwaslasttwoquartersboostedthemanufacturingsector.probablybecauseofthegovernmentcashhandouts3Q42017Improvedassetqualityandprofitabilityof“Itisanotherrecognitionforthecountry’seconomicfinancialinstitutionsandfavorablefundingcondi-management.”

13、2Inotherwords,thepr

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