CIDOB-欧盟作为结束危 机的经济和政 治战略的重心.docx

CIDOB-欧盟作为结束危 机的经济和政 治战略的重心.docx

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1、THEEUROPEANUNIONASTHECENTREOFGRAVITYOFTHEECONOMICANDPOLITICALSTRATEGIESTOENDTHECRISISEmmanuelComte,SeniorResearcher@EmmanuelComte626TheEuropeanUnionremainsthecentreofgravityoftheeconomicandpoliticalstrategiestoendthecurrenteconomiccrisis.TheconsequencesofthepandemicontheGermaneconomyandonmobilit

2、ywithintheUnion,alongwithdifficultiesofpoorcountriesaroundthecontinentarethethreerealrisksthatcouldplungetheEuropeanUnionintoanexistentialcrisis.MAY2020*ThisarticlewaspublishedinLeMondeon23May2020ftheEuropeanUniondoesnotchangeitspolicies,“itwillnotsur-vive,”SpanishVice-PresidentPabloIglesiastold

3、theFinancialTimeson8thMay.“ItisreallythewholeEuropeanedificethatcouldbeunderIpressure.…Thewhole[European]projectisatstake,”PaoloGentiloni,EuropeanCommissionerforEconomicandMonetaryAffairsandformerPresidentoftheCouncilinItaly,saidonthesameday,citingEmmanuelMacron’sremarks.Somehindsightonthehistory

4、ofEuropeanintegrationsuggests,however,thatthethreereasonsoftenputforwardtojustifythesepredictionsareunlikely.Bycontrast,threeotherproblems,sofarhardlytakenintoaccount,couldinthemediumtermthrowtheEuropeanUnionintoapoliticalcrisis.ThefirstreasonforanexistentialcrisisintheEuropeanUnionthatiscom-monl

5、yputforwardisthatthehealthcrisiswouldhaveheraldedthereturnofthestateasthecentralfocusofpolitics,leadingtoaretreatintona-tionsandadeclineininternationalcooperation.However,farfromseeingFrench,ItalianorSpanishleadersembarkingonnationalrecoveryplans,wehavebeenseeingthemcallingforEuropean“solidarity”

6、withtheireyesturnedtowardsBrussels,FrankfurtandevenKarlsruheandBerlin.EuropeanintegrationistheproductofinternationalinterdependenceinEurope.Farfromhavingabolishedit,thehealthcrisishasstrengthenedit.Evenifstatesareinchargeofpublichealthmeasurestocontainthepan-demic,theEuropeanUnionremainsthecentre

7、ofgravityofeconomicandpoliticalstrategiestoexitthecrisis.CIDOBopinion626.MAY20201Secondly,itisalsodoubtfulthattheUnionwouldbethreatenedbythestructuralinadequacyofsolidaritymechanismsinthemonetaryunion.Europeaninstituti

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