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时间:2019-05-29
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1、2011ᑈ4᳜28᮹䆕ࠌⷨおਞÖ݀ৌⷨおÖ䫊㸠Ϯᅕ⊶䫊㸠˄002142˅2011ᑈϔᄷ⚍䆘ᣕ(㓈ᣕ)㾘ᑇ〇ᠽᓴᙃᏂᣕԢԡᔧࠡӋ˖13.36ܗⳂᷛӋ˖16ܗᡩ䌘㽕⚍Ё䆕ࠌⷨお䚼㾘ᑇ〇ᠽᓴˈϮ㒽ヺড়乘ᳳDŽᅕ⊶䫊㸠2011ᑈϔᄷᑺᅲ⦄ޔ߽⍺8.15ғᴅ⨄ܗˈৠ↨䭓63%ˈEPSЎ0.28ܗ˗ᠷ䰸㧹Ϯᬊܹ˄ᘏ䚼ὐᨀ䖕Ѡ⬉䆱˖010-84588601ᡍ㸹ٓℒ1.41ғܗ˅ৢޔ߽⍺6.7ғܗˈৠ↨䭓35%ˈ⦃↨䭓52%ˈ䚂ӊ˖zhuy@citics.comEPSЎ0.23ܗˈᅠܼヺড়乘ᳳDŽᠷ䰸ৢROAЎ1.0%ˈROEЎ16.6%ˈ
2、ৠᠻϮ䆕к㓪ো˖S1010510120023↨ഛ⬹᳝ϟ䰡ˈ䌘ѻ㾘ǃᴗⲞ㾘ৠ↨ᰒ㨫ᠽDŽ㙪᭤᭤⫳ᙃ䌘ѻ㒧ᵘ㓧ℹ䇗ᭈˈᄬ䌋߽Ꮒ㒻㓁ᠽˈৠϮऴ↨໘Ѣ催ԡᢝԢᙃᏂDŽ⬉䆱˖010-84588047ᔧᄷ䌋ℒ/ᄬℒ/⫳ᙃ䌘ѻ䭓6%/5%/3%ˈᄷ⫳ᙃ䌘ѻЁ䌋ℒऴ↨40%ˈ䚂ӊ˖xff@citics.com⦃↨छ1Ͼⱒߚ⚍ˈৠϮऴ↨32%ˈ⦃↨䰡3Ͼⱒߚ⚍ˈ㒧ᵘ䇗ᭈ㓧ℹ䖯㸠DŽᠻϮ䆕к㓪ো˖S1010510120057䌋ℒᬊⲞ⥛6.11%ˈ䕗এᑈछ16BP˗ᄬℒ៤ᴀ1.51%ˈ䕗এᑈछ10BPDŽᄬ䌋߽Ꮒ㒻㓁ᠽˈԚৠϮ䌘ѻऴ↨໘Ѣ催ԡᢝԢᙃᏂDŽ⌟ㅫ
3、ᔧᄷ⫳ᙃ䌘ѻᬊṃⲞ⥛4.84%ˈৠ↨ᦤछ53BP˗Ҭᙃ䋳؎៤ᴀ⥛2.75%ˈৠ↨ᦤछ106BPˈ⬉䆱˖010-84588669䚂ӊ˖chengt@citics.com⌟⑤㞾ৠϮ߽ᏂᬊじDŽᔧᄷᙃᏂ2.26%ˈৠ↨ϟ䰡46BPˈ⦃↨ϟ䰡9BPDŽᠻϮ䆕к㓪ো˖S1010510120039ϡ㡃ԭ乱ᇣᐙϞछˈ݇⊼㉏䌋ℒᰒ㨫ϟ䰡ˈ⫼៤ᴀ㓈ᣕԢԡDŽᄷϡ㡃ԭ乱7.2ғܗˈ䕗ᑈ߱Ϟछ1800ϛܗ˗ϡ㡃⥛0.67%ˈ䕗ᑈ߱ϟ䰡2BPDŽ݇⊼Ⳍᇍᣛ᭄㸼⦄㉏䌋ℒԭ乱⦃↨ᰒ㨫ޣᇥ5ғܗDŽᢼ㽚Ⲫ⥛⦃↨ᖂछ6Ͼⱒߚ⚍㟇202%ˈЁᷛ300ᅕ⊶䫊㸠ᔧᄷ⫼៤ᴀҙ0.3%
4、ˈ䖥ग़ԢԡDŽᄷᢼ䌋↨ҙ1.36%ˈϢᑈ߱ᣕᑇˈ105ҡЎϞᏖ䫊㸠Ё᳔Ԣˈ䴶Јᢼ䌋↨ⲥㅵय़DŽ0-5䌍⫼ࠊ㡃དˈ䌘ᴀᣕܙ㺩ˈᄬℒᬊᕫˈᣕ㓁㾘ᠽᓴৃᳳDŽᔧᄷ៤-10ᴀᬊܹ↨38%ˈϢ2010ᑈܼᑈᣕᑇˈৠ↨ϟ䰡3Ͼⱒߚ⚍DŽᄷ䌘ᴀܙ䎇110104110131110304110331⥛䖒15.2%ˈḌᖗ䌘ᴀܙ䎇⥛11.9%ˈഛ䖰䍙ⲥㅵᷛޚ˗ᄬℒᣕৠℹ䭓ˈ䌋ᄬ↨㓈ᣕ68.8%DŽܙ㺩ⱘ䌘ᴀᄬℒ㡃ད䗖ᑨ༂㸠Ꮒ߿ޚ䞥⥛ⲥㅵঞ䌘᭭ᴹ⑤˖Ё᭄䞣࣪ᡩ䌘ߚᵤ㋏㒳䫊ⲥӮ䌋ᄬ↨ⲥㅵˈ߽Ѣ݀ৌᣕ㓁㾘ᠽᓴDŽЏ㽕᭄亢䰽㋴˖䌘ѻ䋼䞣ᙊ࣪ᢼ䌋↨ⲥ
5、ㅵՓ⫼៤ᴀ催ӕDŽЁᷛ300ᣛ᭄2705.29⚍ᘏ㙵ᴀ/⌕䗮㙵ᴀ2883.82/2500.00ⱒϛ㓈ᣕ¯ᣕā䆘㑻ˈⳟདࡴᙃ䗮䘧ЁⱘᙃᏂᦤछDŽ݀ৌЁᇣӕϮ⬹ᅮԡ⏙䖥12᳔᳜催/᳔Ԣ14.65ܗ/10.43ܗ᱄ǃゲѝӬᰒ㨫ˈ䌋կ䳔أ㋻⦃๗Ё䌋ℒᬊⲞ⥛᳝ᳯ䖯ϔℹᦤछ˗ᘏ㸠䖥1᳜㒱ᇍ⍼ᐙ-0.07%ὐᨀ䖕㸹ٓሒℒᬊܹ0.4-0.5ғܗѢᑈݙ⹂䅸DŽ乘䅵11/12ᑈEPSߚ߿䖥6᳜㒱ᇍ⍼ᐙ-4.91%Ў1.05/1.27ܗˈᇍᑨ11/12ᑈPEЎ13/11סˈᔧࠡӋ13.36ܗˈⳂᷛӋ16Ҟᑈҹᴹ㒱ᇍ⍼ᐙ7.74%ܗˈ¯ᣕā䆘㑻DŽ12Ͼ᳜᮹ഛ៤
6、Ѹ乱278.38ⱒϛܗ乍Ⳃ/ᑈᑺ2008200920102011E2012E㧹Ϯᬊܹ˄ⱒϛ˅3,4034,1755,7707,8339,629Ⳍ݇ⷨお䭓⥛YoY%51.90%22.66%38.22%35.75%22.93%ޔ߽⍺˄ⱒϛ˅1,3321,4572,3223,0213,6641.ljᅕ⊶䫊㸠˄002142˅2010ᑈᑈ⚍䆘䭓⥛YoY%40.02%9.44%59.32%30.09%21.31%ü㾘催䗳䭓ˈᙃᏂডᔍৃᳳNJ2011-4-26EPS(ܗ)0.530.580.811.051.27BVPS(ܗ)3.523.905.506.
7、226.91P/E2523171311P/B3.83.52.42.11.9䌘᭭ᴹ⑤˖Ё᭄䞣࣪ᡩ䌘ߚᵤ㋏㒳⊼˖㙵ӋЎ2011ᑈ4᳜27᮹ᬊⲬӋ䇋ࡵᖙ䯙䇏ℷ᭛Пৢⱘܡ䋷ᴵℒ䚼ߚᅕ⊶䫊㸠˄002142˅2011ᑈϔᄷ⚍䆘㸼1˖݀ৌग़↣㙵Ⲝ߽ঞԄؐ˄ऩԡ˖ܗ˅1Q20092009H3Q20092009N1Q20102010H3Q20102010N1Q2011↣㙵Ⲝ߽ঞԄؐEPS(basic)0.140.280.440.580.200.510.750.810.28EPSgrowth(yoy)4.82%-3.22%-2.08%9.44%40.74%78
8、.87%70.21%38.11%41.85%BVPS3.653.603.763.904.104.214.465.505.79BVPSgrowth(yo
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