马六甲海峡航行环境安全性评价

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1、大连海事大学硕士学位论文马六甲海峡航行环境安全性评价姓名：周斌申请学位级别：硕士专业：航海科学与技术指导教师：刘正江20090601英文摘要EvaluationfortheSafetyofNavigationEnvironmentinMalaccaStraitAbstractWiththedevelopmentofeconomicsandtradeinworldandthedemandforenergyincreasingrapidly,maritimetransportationhasplayedakeyroleinthisnewphaseofthen

2、ewcentury．Inrecentyears，theinternationalshippingindustryhasbeendevelopingrapidly,shiptypeshavevariedalotandshipshavebecomelarger,thetrafficdensityinthenavigablewatershasincreaseddrastically．Duetoitsspecialgeographicallocation,MalaccaStraithasbeenthekeymaritimetransportpassageofth

3、eworld,andisalsoknownasoneofthebusiestwaterwaysintheworld．ThetrafficdensityintheStraithasbecomegreaterandgreater，navigationenvironmenthasbeenSOcomplicatedthatthedifficultyforoperationbecomesharderandharder,morenegligenceoccurs，theissueofsafetyofnavigationwillbecomemoreobvious．Tom

4、akemaritimetransportmuchsafer,navigationenvironmentshouldbeimproved,besidesimprovingthequalityofoperatorsandtheperformanceoftheship．Whereastheimprovementofenvironmentisbasedonanalysisandevaluationthereof,therefore，asforsafetyofnavigationintheStrait，itisofgreatvaluetoanalyzeandeva

5、luethesafetyofthenavigationenvironment，SOastotakeappropriatemeaslestoimproveit．IntroducingthemethodsofevaluationforsafetyoftrafficandascertainingFuzzyComprehensiveSafetyEvaluationasthefundamentalmethodforevaluation，thispaperanalysesthestateofnavigationenvironmentintheStrait，thenr

6、egardsthesafetyofnavigationenvironmentintrafficlaneasevaluationobject,analyzingthemainfactorswhichaffectnavigationsafety,therebyestablishestheevaluationsystemofnavigationenvironmentintrafficlane．Baseduponrelatingconclusion，resultofship—operatingsimulationandexpertconsultation,thi

7、spapersetsevaluationstandardforeachevaluationindex，thenobtainsthemembershipofeachindexbymeansofexpertsurvey,andalsogetstheweightofeachindexthroughexpertsurveyandAnalyticHierarchyProcess，nextsetsuptheevaluationmodelforthesafetyofnavigationenvironment，appliesthemodelforevaluationof

8、thetrafficlaneintheStrait．Accordingtothe