工程项目投资风险决策研究

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1、憋卫畦鞋8理@天津大蓦巾目mR第一M大学硕士学位论文_两啊啊N阴

2、噶-强I嘲P-_学科专业：技术经济及管理作者姓名：武百忠指导教师：商如斌教授天津大学研究生院2006年6月Astheindustrializationofthesocietyhasbeenraisedstepbystep，studytotheriskhasbeendonedeeply．Inthelasttenyears，engineeringprojecthasdevelopedrapidlyinscale，complexityoftechnol

3、ogy,fundandresources．Theriskofprojectmagnifiedincreasingly．Riskmanagementofengineeringprojecthasformedperfectandmoresystemictheorysystem．Entropyisthepowerfultooloftheuncertainresearchquestion，atthesametime，theengineeringprojectcharacteristiciscarriedonundert

4、hedynamicandindefiniteenvironment．Thereforeitiscompletelyaccordedwiththecharacteristicofthemanagementdecision-makingandtheentropytheorythattheentropytheoryisapplicatedintheengineeringprojectinvestmentmanagementdecision-making．Theauthor'tryingtoemployentropyt

5、heorytotheengineeringprojectinvestmentriskdecision·makingresearch，wouldliketoCRITyastudyfromanewangletotheengineeringprojectinvestmentriskdecision-makinginthearticle．WefoundthattheconclusionobtainediSofteninconsistentwhenweusethedifferentprincipletomeasureth

6、einvestmentriskdecision-makingthroughanalyzingthetraditioninvestmentdecision-makingriskmethod，thisalsoisastartingpointoftheentropyfundamentalresearchinthearticle．Afterentropydecision—makingWasintroducedinthefourthchapter，welookedforwardtosettlingtheproblemth

7、atdistinctconclusionWasobtainedwhenweapplydifferentindex．Inordertoconducttheresearchtotheengineeringprojectinvestmentdecision·makingrisk，wehavefirstsummedupfivekindsofriskswhichWgTefacedduringtheengineeringprojectinvestmentdecision-making，thenanalyzedthefact

8、orsthatwillleadtOeachrisk，onthebasisofthis，weconstructedtheengineeringprojectinvestmentdecision—makingtargetsysteminthethirdchapter．Webuiltentropydecision-makingmodelinthefourthchapter．Inthefifthchapterwevalidatedthetargetsystemandentropydecision-makingmodel

9、putforwardinthearticlethroughthedecision-makingcaseofTianjinurbanconstructiontunnelEngineeringCo．LtdinthecollocationschemeofTianjincitytobinhainewdevelopedareaspeedinessrailwaytrafficproject，and