资源描述：
《关于终端区pbn飞行程序的安全评估》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库。
1、基于终端区PBN飞行程序的安全评估ABSTRACTSafetyisthelifelineandeternalthemeofcivilaviation.Withtherapiddevelopmentofcivilaviation,flightflowcontinuestoincrease,andcountriesintheworldintheterminalareawidelydesignandimplementPBNflightprocedurestoreplacethetraditionalflightprocedures,butthesafetyofitsoperatio
2、nurgentlyneedsascientific,quantitativesafetyassessment.Basedonthis,themainworkofthispaperisidentifyingtheriskofconflictscenarioswhenthePBNflightproceduresoperatesintheterminalarea,andaccordingtotheconflictscenariostoestablishflightconflictriskcalculationmodelforquantitativeriskanalysis.Inth
3、ispaperestablishflightconflictriskcalculationmodelforthetworiskscenarioswhicharetheflightconflictofcrossoraggregationtrafficflowandtheflightconflictofparallelinstrumentapproachinthefinalleg.Inthecalculationmodel,itestablishestheerrormodelofdeviationfromthenominaltrajectory.Intheerrormodel,i
4、tpresentsamethodbasedonthestochasticprocessofBrownianmotiontodescribetherandommotionduetotheinterferingfactorsleadaircraft.Thedeviationfromthenominaltrajectoryduetonavigationerrorandinterferencefactorscombinednominaltrajectorysynthesizedtheactualaircraftflightfour-dimensionaltrajectory,andb
5、asedontheactualflightfour-dimensionaltrajectoryguidetothedistancebetweenaircrafteverymoment,withthisdistancesmallerthantheseparationstandardasthecriteriaforjudgingtocalculateflightcollisionprobability.Finally,inaccordancewiththeHangzhouXiaoshanAirportasanexample,itimplementsPBNflightprocedu
6、resoperation,andconductsasafetyassessmentofthePBNflightproceduresoperationinaccordancewiththesafetyassessmentprocess.Inthecase,theairportworkersuseHAZOPmethodtoidentifyriskscenarios,andcalculateflightcollisionprobabilitywithPBNflightprocedurerunquantitativeriskanalysismodelmentionedinthisar
7、ticleandMonteCarlosimulationmethod,soastomakequantitativeriskanalysisforriskscenarios.Keywords:PBN,Flightprocedure,Safetyassessment,Conflictrisk,MonteCarlosimulationII南京航空航天大学硕士学位论文目录第一章绪论..................................................................
