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1、2014年北京外国语大学高翻学院英汉同声传译考研初试辅导讲义及练习资料IsStrategyForVictoryinIraqanEmptyPackage?AmericanpeoplewillhavetosupportitwiththeirchildrenandwalletsJoanJohnson-FreeseTheMarch2003,U.S.-ledinvasionofIraqwasabigbettochangethefabricoftheMiddleEasttoonemoreamenabletoU.S.andglobalsecurityinthelongterm.Over
2、throwingSaddamHusseinwasachievedwithlightningspeed.Nearlythreeyearsand2,100AmericancasualtieslatertheWhiteHousehasreleasedastrategyforsecuringandrebuildingIraqasaviabledemocracy.Thequestionnowis,canthisnewstrategywork?Thoughmanypeoplefeltitwasinitiallyawarofchoice,andanunnecessarychoiceat
3、that,manynowbelieveithasbecomeawarofnecessity.FortheU.S.toleaveIraqintheneartermwouldalmostcertainlyresultinchaos,includingsomecombinationofcivilwar,fragmentation,despoticrule,externalinfluenceandminorityoppression.TheU.S.wouldloseconsiderableinternationalcredibilityregardingitssupportfor
4、democracyandhumanrights;credibilityalreadyinshortsupply.Iraqcouldalsobecomeahavenforterrorists.Accomplishingthenewstrategygoalswillbehard.IraqisavirtualRubik’sCubeofcultural,economic,militaryandpoliticaldilemmas,withrootsdatingbacktobeforetheUnitedStatesevenexisted.Thenewstrategyseemstopr
5、ovideawaytostartmovingRubik’sCubepiecesinawaythatcould,overaverylongtime,besuccessful.But,asAndrewKrepinevichremindsusinarecentForeignAffairsarticleentitled“HowtoWininIraq,”therearethreeessentialelementstoasuccessfulIraqstrategy:theIraqipeople,theAmericansoldier,morespecificallytheArmy;an
6、dtheAmericanpublic.ThePresident’sstrategyaddressesthefirstofthose,butwhatisclearlyneedednowisaplanforaddressingthesecondandthirdelementsessentialtovictory.OsamaBinLaden’s1999fatwapredictedtheUnitedStateswouldnothavethestayingpowertofightaprotractedwaragainstterrorism,apredictionreiterated
7、repeatedlysince,includingin2004whenBinLadenvowedawarofattrition.AndwhileitsometimesseemstruethattheUnitedStatesisacrisis-responsesociety,expectingquickvictorieswithlowcasualtiesfromitsall-volunteermilitary,theU.S.hasalsodemonstratedstayingpowerwhentheneedwasclear,as