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1、MARKETBEATOfficeSnapshotQ12017BeijingEconomyBEIJINGOFFICEBeijingrecordedGDPgrowthof6.7%y-o-yin2016,continuingaEconomicIndicatorssmoothrunovertheentireyear.RealestateinvestmentinfixedPast12-MonthQ316Q416Growthassetsfellto2.1%y-o-ygrowthin2016,downfrom8.1%in2015.GDPGrowt
2、h6.7%6.7%TertiarySectorGrowth7.3%7.1%MarketOverviewCPIGrowth1.2%1.4%Themarketwelcomedanumberofnewofficebuildings,suchasChinaWorldTradeCenterTowerIIIBandZhongguancunCapitalSource:BeijingStatisticsBureauTower.Thepropertiesaddedacombined156,000sqmofGradeGradeACBDMarketInd
3、icatorsAofficesupplyandraisedstockto9.46millionsqm.12-MonthQ416Q117ForecastAverageEffectiveBeijing’sGradeAofficerentsremainedstableinQ1.Theoverall409.5410.5Rent*(RMB/sqm/mo)marketrecordedaneffectiverentofRMB388.4persqmperVacancyRate5.0%5.5%month,up0.3%q-o-q.Theaveragee
4、ffectiverentinthecity’sfivecoresubmarketsincreased0.2%q-o-qtoRMB410.5persqmGradeACBDRent&VacancyRatepermonth.Newofficesupplyinthefivecoresubmarketsbrought4208%abouta0.5q-o-qpercentagepointriseinthevacancyrateto4005.5%attheendofQ1.Acrossthebroadermarket,thevacancy380)ra
5、teheldat6.6%.3606%mom/340sq320Strongofficedemandhelpeddrivedownthevacancyrateinthe4%300Wangjing-Jiuxianqiaoarea,from17.3%inQ4to11%inQ1.(RMB/280Grosseffectiverentsinthesubmarketincreased0.3%q-o-qto260VacancyRate(%)Rent2%240averageRMB281.8persqmpermonthinQ1.Zhongguancun2
6、20drewthestrongestdemandamongsubmarketswithnet2000%absorptionamountingto53,000sqmforthequarter.NewofficesupplywasquicklyabsorbedandhadminimalimpactonmarketOverallRentVacancyRate(%)performance.Thevacancyratehasstabilizedat2.6%.SupplyPipelineOutlookThe2016VATreformhasadd
7、edcostpressureforlandlords,2,60010year(2007–2016)HistoricalAverage=647,000sqmwhichinturnhasbeenpassedontotenantsintheformofhigherm)2,400rents.Thiswasonemainfactorindrivingupgrosseffectiverentssq2,2002,000acrossthecitydespitemassivefuturesupplylevels.Thevacancy1,800rate
8、isexpectedtoincreaseovertheperiod,whilegrosseffective1,6001,400rentsshouldremainsteadyorgraduallyrise.1,2001,000800Ur
