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1、Sample Space 样本空间Thesetofallpossibleoutcomesofastatisticalexperimentiscalledthesamplespace.Event事件Aneventisasubsetofasamplespace.certainevent(必然事件):Thesamplespaceitself,iscertainlyanevent,whichiscalledacertainevent,meansthatitalwaysoccursintheexperiment.impossibleeven
2、t(不可能事件):Theemptyset,denotedby,isalsoanevent,calledanimpossibleevent,meansthatitneveroccursintheexperiment.Probabilityofevents(概率)Ifthenumberofsuccessesintrailsisdenotedby,andifthesequenceofrelativefrequenciesobtainedforlargerandlargervalueofapproachesalimit,thenthisli
3、mitisdefinedastheprobabilityofsuccessinasingletrial.“equallylikelytooccur”------probability(古典概率)Ifasamplespaceconsistsofsamplepoints,eachisequallylikelytooccur.Assumethattheeventconsistsofsamplepoints,thentheprobabilitythatAoccursisMutuallyexclusive(互斥事件)Definition2.4
4、.1Eventsarecalledmutuallyexclusive,if.Theorem2.4.1Ifandaremutuallyexclusive,then(2.4.1)Mutuallyindependent事件的独立性TwoeventsandaresaidtobeindependentifOrTwoeventsandareindependentifandonlyif.ConditionalProbability条件概率Theprobabilityofaneventisfrequentlyinfluencedbyothereve
5、nts.DefinitionTheconditionalprobabilityof,given,denotedby,isdefinedbyif.(2.5.1)Themultiplicationtheorem乘法定理Ifareevents,thenIftheeventsareindependent,thenforanysubset,(全概率公式totalprobability)Theorem2.6.1.IftheeventsconstituteapartitionofthesamplespaceSsuchthatforthanfora
6、nyeventof,(2.6.2)(贝叶斯公式Bayes’formula.)Theorem2.6.2IftheeventsconstituteapartitionofthesamplespaceSsuchthatforthanforanyeventAofS,,.for(2.6.2)ProofBythedefinitionofconditionalprobability,Usingthetheoremoftotalprobability,wehave1.randomvariabledefinitionDefinition3.1.1Ar
7、andomvariableisarealvaluedfunctiondefinedonasamplespace;i.e.itassignsarealnumbertoeachsamplepointinthesamplespace.2.DistributionfunctionDefinition3.1.2Letbearandomvariableonthesamplespace.Thenthefunction.iscalledthedistributionfunctionofNoteThedistributionfunctionisdef
8、inedonrealnumbers,notonsamplespace.3.PropertiesThedistributionfunctionofarandomvariablehasthefollowingproperties:(1)i