金融决策理论Theory of Financial Decision Maki.pdf

金融决策理论Theory of Financial Decision Maki.pdf

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1、TheoryofFinancialDecisionMakingJonathanE.Ingersoll,Jr.YaleUniversityPrefaceInthepasttwentyyearsthequantityofnewandexcitingresearchinfinancehasbeenlarge,andasizablebodyofbasicmaterialnowliesatthecoreofourareaofstudy.Itisthepurposeofthisbooktopresentthiscoreinasystematicandthoroughfashion.Thenotesforth

2、isbookhavebeentheprimarytextforvariousdoctoral-levelcoursesinfinancialtheorythatIhavetaughtoverthepasteightyearsattheUniversityofChicagoandYaleUniversity.Ina11thecoursesthesenoteshavebeensupplementedwithreadingsselectedfromjournals.Readingoriginaljournalarticlesisanintegralpartoflearninganacademicfiel

3、d,sinceitservestointroducethestudentstotheongoingprocessofresearch,includingitsmis-stepsandcontroversies.Inmyopinionanyprogramofstudywouldbeamissnottoconveythiscontinuinggrowth.Thisbookisstructuredinfourparts.Thefirstpart,Chapters1-3,providesanintro-ductiontoutilitytheory,arbitrage,portfolioformation

4、,andefficientmarkets.Chapter1providessomenecessarybackgroundinmicroeconomics.Consumerchoiceisreviewed,andexpectedutilitymaximizationisintroduced.Riskaversionanditsmeasurementarealsocovered.Chapter2introducestheconceptofarbitrage.Theabsenceofarbitrageisoneofthemostconvincingand,therefore,farthest-reac

5、hingargumentsmadeinfinancialeconomics.Arbitragereasoningisthebasisforthearbitragepricingtheory,oneoftheleadingmodelspurportingtoexplainthecross-sectionaldifferenceinassetreturns,Perhapsmoreimpor-tant,theabsenceofarbitrageisthekeyinthedevelopmentoftheBlack-Scholesoptionpricingmodelanditsvariousderivat

6、ives,whichhavebeenusedtovalueawidevarietyofclaimsbothintheoryandinpractice.Chapter3beginsthestudyofsingle-periodportfolioproblems.Italsointroducesthestudenttothetheoryofefficientmarkets:thepremisethatassetpricesfullyreflectallinformationavailabletothemarket.Thetheoryofefficient(orrational)marketsisoneo

7、fthecornerstonesofmodernfinance;itpermeatesalmostallcurrentfinancialresearchandhasfoundwideacceptanceamongpractitioners,aswell.Inthesecondmainsection,Chapters4-9coversingle-periodequilibriummodels.Chap-

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