financial decision making and the law of one price

financial decision making and the law of one price

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页数:37页

时间:2018-02-10

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1、FinancialDecisionCHAPTERMakingandtheLaw3ofOnePriceNMID-2007,MICROSOFTDECIDEDTOENTERABIDDINGWARwithNOTATIONcompetitorsGoogleandYahoo!forastakeinthefast-growingsocialINPVnetpresentvaluenetworkingsite,Facebook.HowdidMicrosoft’smanagersdecidethatthiswasagooddecision?rfrisk-freeinterestrateEver

2、ydecisionhasfutureconsequencesthatwillaffectthevalueofPVpresentvaluethefirm.Theseconsequenceswillgenerallyincludebothbenefitsandcosts.Forexample,afterraisingitsoffer,Microsoftultimatelysucceededinbuyinga1.6%stakeinFacebook,alongwiththerighttoplacebanneradsontheFacebookWebsite,for$240millio

3、n.Inadditiontotheupfrontcostof$240million,Microsoftalsoincurredongoingcostsassociatedwithsoftwaredevelopmentfortheplatform,networkinfrastructure,andinternationalmarketingeffortstoattractadvertisers.ThebenefitsofthedealtoMicrosoftincludedtherevenuesassociatedwiththeadvertisingsales,together

4、withtheappreciationofits1.6%stakeinFacebook.Intheend,Microsoft’sdecisionappearedtobeagoodone—inadditiontoadvertisingbenefits,bythetimeofFacebook’sIPOinMay2012,thevalueofMicrosoft’s1.6%stakehadgrowntoover$1billion.Moregenerally,adecisionisgoodforthefirm’sinvestorsifitincreasesthefirm’svalue

5、byprovidingbenefitswhosevalueexceedsthecosts.Butcomparingcostsandbenefitsisoftencomplicatedbecausetheyoccuratdifferentpointsintime,maybeindifferentcurrencies,ormayhavediffer-entrisksassociatedwiththem.Tomakeavalidcomparison,wemustusethetoolsoffinancetoexpressallcostsandbenefitsincommonterm

6、s.Inthischapter,weintroduceacentralprincipleoffinance,whichwenametheValuationPrinciple,whichstatesthatwecanusecurrentmarketpricestodeterminethevaluetodayofthecostsandbenefitsassociatedwithadecision.Thisprincipleallowsustoapplytheconceptofnetpresentvalue(NPV)asawaytocomparethecostsandbenefi

7、tsofaprojectintermsofacommonunit—namely,dollarstoday.Wewillthenbeabletoevaluateadecisionbyansweringthisquestion:Doesthecashvaluetodayofits595960Chapter3FinancialDecisionMakingandtheLawofOnePricebenefitsexceedthecashvaluetodayofitscosts?Inaddition,wewillseethat

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