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ID:43602440
大小:441.27 KB
页数:15页
时间:2019-10-11
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1、TheQuantificationalEvaluationofShanghaiWorldExpositionIn2010ImpactAbstractInthispaper,weundertakethequantificationalevaluationformtheeconomicaspectsontheimpactofShanghaiWorldExposition.Wedividetheeconomicaspectsintotwostagestoanalysis.ThefirststageisthepreviousWorldExpositionstage(fromChinas
2、uccessfullybidsfortheShanghaiWorldExpositiontoWorldExpositionending).ThesecondstageispostWorldExposition.Wemainlyanalysisthereceiveofnationaltourism,theinfrastructureconstructionoftheWorldExpositionthrowedin,theforeigneconomicandtradevolumeandtotalindustrialproductiononthefirststage.Weusethe
3、regressionanalysisandaccumulativebuildingmethodtoforecastthecorrelationaldataaboutfourfactors.Wehandlethecorrelationaldatafrom2002to2009aboutfourfactorstopredictthecorrelationaldataaboutfourfactorsthattakenoaccountofShanghaiWorldExposition.Wecomparethecorrelationaldataaboutfourfactorswiththe
4、setakennoaccountofShanghaiWorldExposition.WedefinetheimpactproportionfactortoscaletheimpactoftheWorldExpositionupontheseveraltyfactor.Weuseonedegreeexponentialsmoothingmethodandfitmethodconfirmfourfactor5sweight.WedefinetheimpactstrengthtobuildtheimpactstrengthmodeLTheimpactstrengthisimpactp
5、roportionfactorxcorrespondingweightsummation.WesolveouttheimpactstrengthofShanghaiWorldExposition・Itis1.181&FromthemaintenanceofWorldExposition^buildingandfollow-uptour,wequantificationallypredicttheexpenditureofmaintenance.ltis0.978billionin2011.WerefertotheKunminghorticulturalExposition'sf
6、ollow-upimpactontradetoanalysisShanghaiWorldExposition'sfollow-upimpactontradesituation.Keyword:impactstrength;quantificationalevaluation;impactproportionfactorRestatementTheworldexpo2010ShanghaiisthefirstheldinChina.Tohosttheworldexpowillhaveagreateconomicroleinboosting,fromLondon"industria
7、lexposition11start,theworldexpoisincreasinglybecomingpeoplescommunicationhistoryandculture,displayandtechnologicalachievements,reflectthespiritofcooperation,lookforwardtothefuturedevelopmentoftheimportantstage.Thisarticlemainlyfromtheeconomicaspect
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