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1、ESL-IE-92-04-12THECOMMISSIONFORECAST1992REPORT:IMPORTANTRESOURCEPLANNINGISSUESPARVIZADIBMANAGER,ECONOMICANALYSISSECTIONELECTRICDIVISIONPUBLICUTILITYCOMMISSIONOFTEXASABSTRACTresultintheeliminationofsurpluscapacityandtheadditionofsomepowerplantsinTexasinthe1990s.Thereisa
2、generalagreementamongexpertsintheFurthelmore,thereisagrowingawarenessoftheelectricutilityindustrythatsomepowerplantswillbebuilteconomicalalternativestopowerplantconstruction.inTexasinthe1990s.However,theexistenceofThesealternativesincludecogeneration,conservation,numer
3、ousalternativestomeetthegrowingdemandmayandrenewableresources--thethreepillarsofenergyhaveapowerfulimpactonthisnewphaseofconstruction.efficiency.CogenerationtechnologiesallowmoreTherefore,themagnitudeofthenewpowerplantconstructionwillprobablynotbeasgreataswhatweefficie
4、ntuseoffuel,usuallynaturalgas.Conservationthoughtafewyearsago.technologiesincreasetheefficiencyofelectricityuse.TheauthoremphasizestheimportanceofusinganFinally,renewabletechnologiesallowtheuseofintegratedresourceplanningapproach,inwhichalternativeplentifulnaturalresou
5、rcessuchaswindandsunlight.resourcescouldbeanalyzedandcomparedadequately.Therefore,themagnitudeofthenewphaseofpowerWhiletherearemanyimportantissuesinthepreparationofplantconstructionwillprobablynotbeasgreataswhatautility'selectricresourceplan,theCommissionstaffwillwetho
6、ughtitmightbejustafewyearsago.addressafewimportantonesinthenextCommissionThePublicUtilityCommission,throughamultiForecastReport(Forecast'92).Inparticular,thestageprocess,evaluates(I)decisionsmadetobuildaCommissionstaffwillinsurethatalternativeresources,thepowerplant,(2
7、)themanagementandcostofenvironmentalimpactsofdifferenttechnologies,andconstruction,and(3)theinclusionoftheresultinginnovativeratedesignoptionsareconsidered.severalmiUion-dollar,orpossiblybillion-dollar,investmentsintheutilities'ratebase.MyremarksINTRODUCTIONfocusonthef
8、irststageofthismulti-stageprocess.Thisfirststageisthedevelopmentofautility'sloadTheelectricindustryinTexashasnearlyfo