Supercycles The new economic force transforming global markets and investment strategy

Supercycles The new economic force transforming global markets and investment strategy

ID:39448153

大小:3.19 MB

页数:272页

时间:2019-07-03

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1、PraiseforSuperCycles“SuperCyclesprovidesarichantidotetoorthodoxthinkingaboutcontemporaryglobalimbalancesandtoday’sfinancialcrisis,andassuchisamust-readforpolicymakersandinvestors.ArunMotianeychallengesneoclassicalorthodoxyinmacroeconomicsbyprovidingahistoricalanalys

2、isofrelativepriceshocks,whichtypicallyhavetheirrootincommodities.“Thisinsightfulandengagingbookdemonstrateshowdisinfla-tioncanhaveentrenchedmalignanteffectsandcanultimatelybecombatedonlywithpro-inflationpolicies.Byrevealinghowboomsbuildonbusts(theRoaring’20s,Japanint

3、he’80s,techinthe’90s,andourrecentcreditboom),heprovidesuswithanewwaytolookatandunderstandwherewefindourselvestoday.Notallreaderswillagreewiththeauthor’ssavagecriticismofthefinance-drivenmoderneconomy,butfewwillreadthebookwithouthavingatleastsomeoftheirpreconceivednot

4、ionschallenged.”—Dr.KevinHebner,GlobalInvestmentStrategist,ThirdWaveGlobalInvestors“ArunMotianeyisoneofthesmartestpeopleIknow.Hehastheuncannyabilitytoseethebroadmovements.Thisbookisimpor-tantforthosewhodonotwanttogetlulledintotheconventionalthinking.”—DavidMartin,C

5、hiefRiskOfficer,AllianceBernstein“InthisbookArunMotianeyshinesasearchlightonsomeofthemoreludicrouspropositionsofmodernequilibriumeconomics.Hegoesontodescribehowinvestmentbankersinventedfinancialprod-uctsdesignedtomaketherealworldlookliketheeconomists’model.Boththeeco

6、nomistsandthebankersgotitwrong—andtheworldisexperiencingthedisastrousconsequences.“Theauthorprovesanewwayforthinkingaboutglobalvaluecreation—anddestruction.Hisabilitytomovebetweeneconomictheoryandinvestmentpracticegiveshisanalysesauthority,whiletheimpressivehistori

7、calandgeographicalrangeofthebookforcesthereaderrepeatedlytore-examineconventionalinterpretationsofthefinancialcrisis.”—Dr.TerryO’Shaughnessy,FellowinEconomics,StAnne’sCollege,OxfordUniversity“ArunMotianey’sSuperCyclesprovidesaninnovativeandprovoca-tiveapproachtounde

8、rstandingtheforcesthatarebuffetingtheworldeconomytoday.Thislivelyvolumenotonlyexaminesthebigpic-ture,butalsoprovidespracticaladviceforinvestorswh

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