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1、PraiseforSuperCycles“SuperCyclesprovidesarichantidotetoorthodoxthinkingaboutcontemporaryglobalimbalancesandtoday’sfinancialcrisis,andassuchisamust-readforpolicymakersandinvestors.ArunMotianeychallengesneoclassicalorthodoxyinmacroeconomicsbyprovidingahistoricalanalys
2、isofrelativepriceshocks,whichtypicallyhavetheirrootincommodities.“Thisinsightfulandengagingbookdemonstrateshowdisinfla-tioncanhaveentrenchedmalignanteffectsandcanultimatelybecombatedonlywithpro-inflationpolicies.Byrevealinghowboomsbuildonbusts(theRoaring’20s,Japanint
3、he’80s,techinthe’90s,andourrecentcreditboom),heprovidesuswithanewwaytolookatandunderstandwherewefindourselvestoday.Notallreaderswillagreewiththeauthor’ssavagecriticismofthefinance-drivenmoderneconomy,butfewwillreadthebookwithouthavingatleastsomeoftheirpreconceivednot
4、ionschallenged.”—Dr.KevinHebner,GlobalInvestmentStrategist,ThirdWaveGlobalInvestors“ArunMotianeyisoneofthesmartestpeopleIknow.Hehastheuncannyabilitytoseethebroadmovements.Thisbookisimpor-tantforthosewhodonotwanttogetlulledintotheconventionalthinking.”—DavidMartin,C
5、hiefRiskOfficer,AllianceBernstein“InthisbookArunMotianeyshinesasearchlightonsomeofthemoreludicrouspropositionsofmodernequilibriumeconomics.Hegoesontodescribehowinvestmentbankersinventedfinancialprod-uctsdesignedtomaketherealworldlookliketheeconomists’model.Boththeeco
6、nomistsandthebankersgotitwrong—andtheworldisexperiencingthedisastrousconsequences.“Theauthorprovesanewwayforthinkingaboutglobalvaluecreation—anddestruction.Hisabilitytomovebetweeneconomictheoryandinvestmentpracticegiveshisanalysesauthority,whiletheimpressivehistori
7、calandgeographicalrangeofthebookforcesthereaderrepeatedlytore-examineconventionalinterpretationsofthefinancialcrisis.”—Dr.TerryO’Shaughnessy,FellowinEconomics,StAnne’sCollege,OxfordUniversity“ArunMotianey’sSuperCyclesprovidesaninnovativeandprovoca-tiveapproachtounde
8、rstandingtheforcesthatarebuffetingtheworldeconomytoday.Thislivelyvolumenotonlyexaminesthebigpic-ture,butalsoprovidespracticaladviceforinvestorswh