我国房地产市场形势分析及对策研究

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1、北京交通大学硕士学位论文我国房地产市场形势分析及对策研究姓名：石纯申请学位级别：硕士专业：工程与项目管理指导教师：刘伊生20080601ABSTRACTABSTRACT：Sincereformandopeningup，economymaintainedasustainedandrapiddevelopmentinChina．Atthesametime，therealestateindustryinChinaalsodevelopedrapidly,therealestateindustryhasincreasin

2、glybecomethebasisofournationaleconomy,guidingandpillarindustry．TherealestateindustryinChinastartedtherapiddevelopmentsincethe1980s，thehousingsystemreforminthe1990s，aconsiderableproportionofurbanresidentsbuylow-costhousingintheoldpropertyrights．Inrecentyears，w

3、ithpercapitaincomeincreased，theescalationofconstructiontechnology,theprocessofurbanization,consumercreditandotherfinancialsupporttoupgradetherealestateindustry,themainconsBnlerstransferfromthemaincommercialbuildingstoresidentialbuildings，fromthegrouptopurchas

4、etoindividual．Since2002，therealestateindustrytransferfromconsumergoodstoinvestmentgoods，fromdomesticinvestorstoofinternationalihvestors．Withtheannualgrowthindemandfortherealestate，constructionqualityincreasedandSCarCelandresources，therealestatepricesWereonthe

5、rise．Somescholarsbelievethattherealestatebubblehasbeenthere，suggestthattheGovernmenttakeeffectivemeasurestosqueezethebubbletopreventthebubbleeconomy．Otherscholarsbelievethattheoverheatedrealestatedevelopmentdoesnotmeanthatthebubbleformed，currentlyjudgementoft

6、heindicatorsofthebubbleisnotverymature，science．Ifadoptsomemeasurestostopthebubbleblindly,itwillseriouslyaffectorevendestroytherealestateindustryandnationaleconomicdevelopment．Thisarticlefollowsfrombasictheorytotheempiricalanalysisoftheideas，combinedwithqualit

7、ativeanalysisandquantitativeanalysis．Ontheonehand，throughtheChina’Srealestatecycletheory,factorsaffectingandthequalitativeoftherealestatebubble，andcombinedwiththeprincipalcomponentanalysisontheintrinsicrelationshipbetweenvariables，Extractmorethan90％ofthereale

8、stateindexinformationandobtaintheprincipalcomponentsoftherealestatemarketcompositeindexes，furthermore,obtainthestageoftherealestatemarketdevelopmentfrom1995inChina．Ontheotherhand，basedont