经济结构调整与金融结构优化的实证研究——一个金融CGE模型分析

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1、厦门大学博士学位论文经济结构调整与金融结构优化的实证研究——一个金融CGE模型分析姓名：黄君慈申请学位级别：博士专业：金融学指导教师：江曙霞20060401ABSTRACTAdjustmentofeconomicstructureisthebackboneofChinesemacroeconomlcdevelopmentstrategy,whichincludesnotonlytheoptimizationofrealeconomicstrugture,butthetransformationoffinancialstructure．It’Stheimperativetimeof

2、Chineseeconomicsystemreformtodeepenthefinancialreform．Soit’Sthekeyissuehowtooptimizethefinancialstructure．However,moststudiesonwhetherfinancialstructureisrationalornot,alwaysneglectedtheadaptabilityandtheinterrelationshipbetweenfinancialstructureandrealstructure．WhereasthjS，thedissertationUSe

3、Sthecomputablegeneralequilibriumtheorywhichincludesfinanc／alsectorandfinancialCGEmodeltocomputetheeffectoffinancialstructurechangeonmacroeconomicstructureandindustrystructure,andfindsaevolvingpathoffinancialstructurewhichmatchesuptoChinesecurrentdevelopmentalstrategyofeconomicstructuraladjust

4、mentandthegeneralequilibriumsolution．Thedissertationincludessevensections．Afterintroduction(sectionone)andthereview(sectiontwo)ontheinterrelationshipbetweenfinancialstructureandrealstructure，andthedevelopmentoffinancialCGEmodel，thedissertationdealswithfollowingissues：Insectionthree,basedonthe

5、empiricalstudyandtheinternationalcompareonthechangepathofeconomicstructureintheworld，thedissertationanalyzesthehistoryofChineseeconomicstructurechangingandit’Sdefectsnow,andproposesasolutiontooptimizeChineseeconomicstructure．InsectionfoUr,thedissertationintroducesthebasicstructureofChinesefin

6、ancialCGEmodelconstructedbytheauthor,themakingoffinancial—SAMandmodeldata,andtheprogramusedtosolvethemodel．Insectionfive，thedissertationconstructsafinancialCGEmodelincludingbankcreditflowtosimulatetheeffectofthechangeofbankcreditscaleonChinesemacroeconomicstructureandindustrialstructure,andof

7、fersaproposalfortheadjustmentpolicyofbankcreditstructurematchinguptothestrategyofeconomicstructuraloptimization．Insectionsix，thedissertationconstructsafinancialCGEmodelincludingnationaldebtflowtosimulatetheeffectofthechangeofnationaldebtscale