“Resource Diplomacy” Under Hegemony The Sources of Sino-American Competition in the 21st Century.pdf

“Resource Diplomacy” Under Hegemony The Sources of Sino-American Competition in the 21st Century.pdf

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时间:2019-03-08

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1、“ResourceDiplomacy”UnderHegemony:stTheSourcesofSino-AmericanCompetitioninthe21Century?ByDavidZweigChairProfessor,DivisionofSocialSciencesDirector,CenteronChina’sTransnationalRelationsHongKongUniversityofScienceandTechnologyhttp://www.cctr.ust.hk/1CenteronChina’sTransna

2、tionalRelationsWorkingPaperNo.18TheHongKongUniversityofScienceandTechnologyForthcomingasaResearchReportfromthePacificCouncilonInternationalPolicyUniversityofSouthernCalifornia,LosAngeles1CorporateSponsor2005-2006:Mr.AndreS.Chouraqui,Chairman;DARTONLtd-SMERWICKGROUPOFCO

3、MPANIES;2006-2007:RonnieC.Chan;ShuiOnHoldingsLimited;East-WestStrategicDevelopmentCommission;IntroductionstIsthis“China’scentury?”WhilemanyobserversofEastAsiaseethe21centuryasthecenturyofChina’srise,amoreinsightfulresponseshouldbeanemphatic“NO!”Why?Becausetheglobalstru

4、ctureshowsthatwhilethenext20yearswillbeyearsduringwhichChinawillcontinuetorise,thatrisewilloccurwithinaninternationalsystemdominatedbyU.S.“hegemony.”Asaresult,theevolutionofthisbilateralrelationshipwilldriveinternationalpoliticsforthecomingseveraldecades.WillChinarisec

5、hallengewhatAmericansseeastheirnationalinterestandtheinternationalnorms(thattheU.S.,asthehegemon,triestosupport?)WilltheUSmakeroomforChinaasitsinfluencegrows,orwillittrytocontainChina’sriseandtherefore,riskinducinganegativeresponse?Iplacenomoraljudgmentontheconceptof“U

6、.S.hegemony;”itismerelyastatementoffact.Intermsofmilitary,cultural,political,moraland“soft”power,theU.S.dominatestheworld.ItseconomicmightischallengedonlybytheEuropeanUnion,butnotbyanysinglememberofthatunion.Americaninfluencewanedinthe1980s,recoveredinthe1990s,butthere

7、centinterventioninIraqhassappedU.S.powerandinfluence.ButtheU.S.stillcastsahugeshadowovertheworld,soChina’sefforttorise,oroureffecttounderstandthatrise,musttakeintoaccounttheglobaldistributionofpower.Infact,accordingtoGoldstein,inthemid-1990s,China’sleadersrecognizedtha

8、tthekeychallengetotheirGrandStrategywastoensurecontinuedgrowthofthecivilianeconomyinlightofa“surprisinglyrobustAmeric

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