长株潭城市群土地利用2f覆盖变化驱动机制定量分析

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1、中南大学硕士学位论文ABSTRACTABSTRACTSincethe20thcentury,globalenvironmentalchangepaysmoreattentiontotheresearchonlandchangeinfluenceandresponse，LandUseandLandCoverchange(LUCC)becomesoneofthehotspotsofglobalchangestudy．Thedrivingforcesanddrivingmechanismresearchisoneoftheimportanttopicsamonglanduseandlandcove

2、rchangestudy．Changsha-Zhuzhou—Xiangtanurbanagglomeration，locatinginthecentralsouthpartofChina，isthecombiningzoneofJing—Guangeconomicbelt，panpearlriverdeltaeconomiccircleandtheYangtzeriverbelts，anditisthesyntheticallyreformtestingdistrictofnationalresourceconservationandenvironmentfriendlysocietycon

3、struction，theeconomicdevelopsrapidly,atthesametime，landuseandlandcoveralsogreatlychangesinthearea．ThereforethedrivingmechanismstudyonChangsha—-Zhuzhou··XiangtanurbanagglomerationCanprovidescientificbasisforrationalutilizationandoptimizedallocationoflandresourcesandlandmanagementplanning．Thecoreregi

4、onofChangsha-Zhuzhou—Xiangtanurbanagglomerationistakenasthestudyareainthispaper,andthisstudyappliesthetopographyandsocialdataandLogisticregressiontoconstructtheconstructionland，farmlandandforestmodelsonsevenspatialscalesof60mx60m，90m×90m，120m×120m，150m×150m，180mx180m，210mx210m，240mx240mrespectively

5、,inordertoinvestigatethescaleeffectoflanduseandlandcoverchange，determinetheoptimalscaleandmakequalitativeandquantitativeanalysisofdrivingmechanism．Theconclusionsareasfollows：(1)Thefactorsoflanduseandlandcoverchangearedifferentasthescaleschange，inthisstudyarea，whenthescaleis180m×180m，thegoodness-of-

6、fitforconstructionland，farmlandandforestreachesthehighest(theROCvalueofconstructionland，farmlandandforestisO．793，III中南大学硕士学位论文ABSTRACT0．697and0．722respectively)．(2)Thedistancestothemainroad，distancestothecityloop，distancestothegovernmenthavegreatinfluenceontheconstructionlandchanges．Thedistancestot

7、hemainroad，cityloopandgovernmentreducelkm，theprobabilityofconstructionlandchangewillincrease1．28times，1．09timesand1．03times．(3)DEM，distancestothecityloophaveanimportantimpactonthefarmlandchanges．Thefarmland