老年髋部骨折术前风险评估与风险预测方程的初步建立

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1、meaningfulvariablesandvariationcoefficienttoestablishthepredictionequation．Tothesamesetofdatabacktogenerationintotheequation，nexttoanalyzetheresults．Results：Collectionofsurgicaltreatmentof546casesofelderlypatientswithhipfracture，Man：casesof223，female：casesof323；Atthebeginningoftheremaining518ca

2、sesafterscreen，theoriginaljudgmentof“1”108cases，410casesoftheoriginaljudgmentof“0”；Throughthestatisticalanalysistogetpreoperativesurgicalriskpredictionequationisobtained：Y=0．042Xwbc+O．004Xb。，+0．515Xnyha+0．227Xmmse+0．594Xxxghb+1．513Xhxhb+1．189Xmnhb+2．703Xqqhb-2．138；Theroleofeachvariableintheabov

3、eequationtothediscriminantresultsizecanusestandardizedcoefficientestimation，andthestandardizationofthevariablecoefficient，respectively：wbc(numerationofleukocyteunitxl09／L)O．154，bcr(serumcreatinineunitumol／L)0．222，nyha(cardiacfunctionalgrading)0．357，mmse(MiniMentalStateExamination)O．171，xxghb(ca

4、rdiovascularsystemcomplications)0．213，hxhb(Respiratorysystemcomplications)O．553，mnhb(Urinarysystemcomplications)0．270，qqhb(Othertumor、consumptivedisease，etccomplications)0．419：Putbackthecasesintotheequation，combinedsurgerypreoperativeriskdecisionaccuracy：84．O％．Variablevaluesrelatingtoasampleofg

5、enerationintothediscriminantequation，thedefinitionofthediscriminantpointsY>0astherisklevel“1”，identifyingpointsY<0ofthedefinitionofrisklevel“0’’．Identifyingriskfor．．4．．level“O"ofCenterpointsis一0．413·Identifyingriskforlevel“1’’ofCenterpointsiS1．568．Conclusion：(1)Surgicalriskfactorsofelderlypatie

6、ntswithhipfractureinfluencetheresultoftheforecast，whichCanbeexpressedinstandardizedcoefficient，respiratorycomplicationsamongthemisthemostimportantriskfactor，followedbycardiovascularcomplications．(2)Preoperativeriskpredictionequationofelderlypatientswithhipfracture：Y=0．042Xwb。+O．004Xbc，+0．515Xny

7、ha+0．227Xmmse+0．594XXx曲b+1．513Xhxhb+1．189Xmnhb+2．703Xqqhb一2．138；Preoperativesurgicalriskpredictionaredonebydiscriminantequation，Putbackthecasesintotheequation，combinedsurgerypreoperativeriskdecisionaccuracy．．84．O％．Thisequationcanb