医药行业：仿制药超额利润难延续，医药行业格局将重塑

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1、17December2018PreliminaryresultsforthefirstroundoftheStateJointProcurementforDrugsLinkedwithSpecificVolume("JointProcurement")havebeenreleased,whichshowedstrongsubstitutioneffectofgenericdrugsonoriginalonesandlarger-than-expectedpricecut.PreliminaryresultsofJointProcurementin11citieswererel

2、easedonDec.7th;25drugssucceededinattractingpreliminarycandidatewinningbidderswhile6failed.Theresultsshowedastrongsubstitutioneffectofgenericdrugsonoriginalones;22outofthe25candidatesoptedforgenericswhichhadalreadypassedtheQualityConsistencyEvaluationforGenericDrugs("QCE").Comparedtothe2017m

3、inimumtenderpricesinthe11pilotcities,bidpricesofthe25drugsdeclinedby52%onaverage,beatingourexpectationandmarketconsensus.Table-1:PreliminaryResultsofJointProcurementDistributorSelectedinShanghai2017MarketShareofWinner2017SampleHospitalPurchases(RMBmn)ChangePrice（RMB）(RMB)NationwideBestPrice

4、MinimumWinnerSpecificationGenericNameAtorvastatinCalciumTablets20mg*7tabletsJialinPharmaceutical6.6023.24-71.60%2,20917%SinopharmRosuvastatinCalciumTablets10mg*28tabletsJingxinPharmaceutical21.8060.50-63.97%1,1037%ShanghaiPharmaClopidogrelHydrogenSulphate75mg*7tabletsSalubrisPharmaceutical2

5、2.2660.33-63.10%2,39530%ShanghaiPharmaTabletsIrbesartanTablets75mg*28tabletsHuahaiPharmaceutical5.6614.90-62.01%3651%ShanghaiPharmaAmlodipineBesylateTablets5mg*28tabletsJingxinPharmaceutical4.164.60-9.57%7550%ShanghaiPharmaEntecavirDispersibleTablets0.5mg*28tabletsSinoBiopharm17.36257.00-93

6、.25%1,99644%ShanghaiPharmaEscitalopramOxalateTablets10mg*7tabletsKelunPharmaceutical30.9437.54-17.58%41610%SinopharmParoxetineHydrochloride20mg*20tabletsHuahaiPharmaceutical33.4040.57-17.67%21141%SinopharmTabletsOlanzapineTablets10mg*7tabletsHansohPharmaceutical67.5192.62-27.11%65360%Shangh

7、aiPharmaCefuroximeAxetilTablets0.25g*12tabletsBrilliantPharmaceutical6.1610.31-40.25%5553%ShanghaiPharmaRisperidoneTablets1mg*60tabletsHuahaiPharmaceutical10.0212.68-20.98%1187%SinopharmGefitinibTablets250mg*10tabletsAstraZeneca547.002,280.00-76.01%42089