建商品住房需求合理水平的研究——以江苏省为例

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1、为基础的住房需求合理水平的城市筛选指标体系。4．针对不同类型中具有住房需求合理水平的城市，运用计量经济学方法建立住房需求合理水平的回归模型，将该模型运用于不具有住房需求合理水平的城市，分析其住房需求合理水平的理论值和住房需求实际量之间的关系。住房需求合理水平的研究，是对现有住房需求研究的补充和延展，具有重要的理论意义和现实意义。关键词：住房需求住房需求合理水平城市分类筛选指标体系住房需求合理水平模型Il万方数据SPECIALIZATION：墨!!型鱼!坠!鱼基旦gin星星!i堕gM．A．CANDIDATE：MinminYuSUPERVISOR：

2、△曼苎Q堡i丛曼卫翌￡Xi堑gh盟垒进ABSTRACTHousingproblemisanimportantissuerelatedtosocialharmonyandstability．Thehealthydevelopmentofthehousingmarketisthefocusofgovernmentwork．Inrecentyears，witlltherapiddevelopmentoftheeconomy,thehousingmarketinJiangsuProvincehasshownagoodtrend．EspeciallyNa

3、njingandSuzhouareintheforefrontoftherapiddevelopmentofsecond-tiercities．Housinginvestmentcontinuestogrowrapidly,housingcompletionareaandsalesareaannually．Therapiddevelopmentofthehousingmarkethasbroughtmanyproblems，suchashousingpricesrosefastercauseresidentsCannotaffordtopurc

4、haseahome；InadequatehousingsupplyinsomecitiescauseresidentspurchasehousebyqueuedthroughthenightandYaohao；Partofthecityhousingvacancyrateishigher,resultingin”ghosttown”phenomenon．Marketthis”invisiblehand”hasnoabilitytosolvetheproblems．SOthegovernmentdepartmentsregulatethehous

5、ingmarketthroughmacroeconomicpolicy，buttheactualeffectisminimalregulation．Throughoutthecontrolpolicyofthegovernment，successivegovernmentshavetotakemorestrictcontrol，suchasprice，purchase，raisethesecondhomesdown-paymentrequirements，etc．，butnotfundamentallysolvetheproblem．Theho

6、usingmarkethasSOmanyproblems，becauseoftheimbalanceofhousingsupplyanddemand．Housingsupplyanddemandbalanceisthepremiseofstablepricesandensureingstabledevelopmentofthehousingmarket．Whengovernmentformulateshousingsupplypolicies，theymustunderstandreasonabledemandforhousing．Onlyfu

7、llyunderstandingthereasonableneedsofthehousingmarket，wecanprovideareasonablesupplyofhousing．Otherwiseitwillleadtotwosituations：oversupply,whichresultinginawasteofresourcestohousing，and，shortsupply,whichresultinginresidentialhousingdemandCannotbemetandmakingtheimpactonsocialh

8、armonyandstability．TheresachofrationallevelofhousingdemandinChinahasbeenina