我国财政收入与部分支出结构的实证分析

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1、我国财政收入与部分支出结构的实证分析《计量经济学》实例分析报告国际商学院2001级1班小组成员：肖北莎（40102040）范丽丽（40102006）孙艳超（40102129）赵静昆（40102013）2003年12月《计量经济学》课程论文我国财政收入与部分支出结构的实证分析[摘要]本文主要是对1979到2001年我国国家财政收入的支出在农业，科研，社会福利，债务清偿等四个方面的情况进行实证分析。首先，我们分别对财政支出的四个方面进行理论分析。然后，在收集数据的基础上建立经济模型，利用EVIEethod:LeastSquaresDate:12/12/03Time:

2、11:01Sample:19782001Includedobservations:15Excludedobservations:9VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.C116.713165.985321.7687740.1004X0.0742060.0083878.8482430.0000R-squared0.857599Meandependentvar595.7693AdjustedR-squared0.846645S.D.dependentvar373.0475S.E.ofregression146.087

3、6Akaikeinfocriterion12.92986Sumsquaredresid277440.4Sche:20:40Sample:19782001Includedobservations:15Excludedobservations:9VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.C27.460247.7585663.5393440.0036X0.0424650.00098643.064570.0000R-squared0.993039Meandependentvar301.6073AdjustedR-square

4、d0.992504S.D.dependentvar198.3902S.E.ofregression17.17700Akaikeinfocriterion8.648585Sumsquaredresid3835.641Sche:11:32Sample:19782001Includedobservations:15Excludedobservations:9VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.C90.4906916.017415.6495200.0001X0.0011740.0003713.1685000.0074R

5、-squared0.435749Meandependentvar109.7380AdjustedR-squared0.392345S.D.dependentvar73.63590S.E.ofregression57.40082Akaikeinfocriterion11.06156Sumsquaredresid42833.10Sche:11:37Sample(adjusted):19802001Includedobservations:14Excludedobservations:8afteradjustingendpointsVariableCoefficien

6、tStd.Errort-StatisticProb.C-119.4150199.1816-0.5995280.5600X0.1615220.0244746.5997810.0000R-squared0.784006Meandependentvar984.7514AdjustedR-squared0.766007S.D.dependentvar836.0580S.E.ofregression404.4252Akaikeinfocriterion14.97437Sumsquaredresid1962717.Sche:20:23Sample:19782001Inclu

7、dedobservations:15Excludedobservations:9VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.C-1.0993640.456553-2.4079670.0316LX0.8563070.05355715.988610.0000R-squared0.951607Meandependentvar6.167242AdjustedR-squared0.947885S.D.dependentvar0.736045S.E.ofregression0.168030Akaikeinfocriterion-0

8、.605782Sumsq