公路交通安全宏观评价方法研究

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时间:2019-05-11

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1、西南交通大学硕士学位论文公路交通安全宏观评价方法研究姓名:王琴申请学位级别:硕士专业:交通运输工程指导教师:叶怀珍20061101西南交通大学工程硕士论文第1I页AbstractTheroadsafetyevaluationisoneoftheimportantmeanstopreventeffectivelyandreducethetrafficaccident.Itisintermsofhighwayuserstofindthepotentialfactorofthetrafficaccidentinappra

2、isingtheprojectofthehighway.Doingitaccidentcanbepreventedbeforeithappens,personnelandpropertylosscanbereducedtothegreatestextent.ThisarticleproducedthreemethodstocarryontheappraisaloftrafficsafetyTheyrespectivelyarethe萨aygatheringmethod,basedon罂ayrelationmulti

3、stagegrayappraisallawandself-organizingcompetitivenetwork.ThismethoddifferentfromtheclassicalmethodisnotonlyconsideringtheabsoluteindexesOrseveralrelativeindicescarried011theappraisal,butischoosingaseriesofappraisalindexestocomposeanappraisalsystembeforecarrie

4、dontheappraisal.Intheestablishmentofappraisalindexsystem,thehuman、thevehicle、theroad、theenvironmentandmanyotherfactorsmustbeconsidered.Thusmakecomprehensiveandtheaccurateappraisaltotheobject.’Thegathermethodanalysestheindexesin2002and2003,andcomparetheresultst

5、ofindthedistributionandchangingruleoftrafficsafetycondition.BasedongrayrelationmultistagegrayappraisallawdiscardsthePhilippineruleandintroducesthegrayrelationtoconfirmtheindexweJlghts,meanwhilesolvesthebugofjudgmentmatrixestablishedbyexperts,Moreovertheresultb

6、ythismethodhastheverygoodfeasibility.Theself-organizingcompetitivenetworkisamethodofno·teachingtraining.itdoesnotneedtoconsidertheOUtputexpectedandoperatessimply.ItCanberealizedinthematlabnervenetworktoolbox.Thetrainingresulthastheverystrongusability..Eachmeth

7、odabovementionedhasachaptertocompleterespectively.Eachchafterhasintroducedtheprinciple,themethodandthemodelconstructed,thenanalysesnationalpartialareasdatain2002and2003,Finallyproducestheappraisalresultandcarriesonthediscussiontotheresult.Fromtheresultsgivenby

8、thethreemethod,weCallseethatinthemajorityofareathreemethodsresultshavenotchanged;asmallpartialareaappraisalresulthasthechangeofarank;theresultsoffewplaceshavehadthebigchange.Itshow

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《公路交通安全宏观评价方法研究》由会员上传分享,免费在线阅读,更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库

1、西南交通大学硕士学位论文公路交通安全宏观评价方法研究姓名:王琴申请学位级别:硕士专业:交通运输工程指导教师:叶怀珍20061101西南交通大学工程硕士论文第1I页AbstractTheroadsafetyevaluationisoneoftheimportantmeanstopreventeffectivelyandreducethetrafficaccident.Itisintermsofhighwayuserstofindthepotentialfactorofthetrafficaccidentinappra

2、isingtheprojectofthehighway.Doingitaccidentcanbepreventedbeforeithappens,personnelandpropertylosscanbereducedtothegreatestextent.ThisarticleproducedthreemethodstocarryontheappraisaloftrafficsafetyTheyrespectivelyarethe萨aygatheringmethod,basedon罂ayrelationmulti

3、stagegrayappraisallawandself-organizingcompetitivenetwork.ThismethoddifferentfromtheclassicalmethodisnotonlyconsideringtheabsoluteindexesOrseveralrelativeindicescarried011theappraisal,butischoosingaseriesofappraisalindexestocomposeanappraisalsystembeforecarrie

4、dontheappraisal.Intheestablishmentofappraisalindexsystem,thehuman、thevehicle、theroad、theenvironmentandmanyotherfactorsmustbeconsidered.Thusmakecomprehensiveandtheaccurateappraisaltotheobject.’Thegathermethodanalysestheindexesin2002and2003,andcomparetheresultst

5、ofindthedistributionandchangingruleoftrafficsafetycondition.BasedongrayrelationmultistagegrayappraisallawdiscardsthePhilippineruleandintroducesthegrayrelationtoconfirmtheindexweJlghts,meanwhilesolvesthebugofjudgmentmatrixestablishedbyexperts,Moreovertheresultb

6、ythismethodhastheverygoodfeasibility.Theself-organizingcompetitivenetworkisamethodofno·teachingtraining.itdoesnotneedtoconsidertheOUtputexpectedandoperatessimply.ItCanberealizedinthematlabnervenetworktoolbox.Thetrainingresulthastheverystrongusability..Eachmeth

7、odabovementionedhasachaptertocompleterespectively.Eachchafterhasintroducedtheprinciple,themethodandthemodelconstructed,thenanalysesnationalpartialareasdatain2002and2003,Finallyproducestheappraisalresultandcarriesonthediscussiontotheresult.Fromtheresultsgivenby

8、thethreemethod,weCallseethatinthemajorityofareathreemethodsresultshavenotchanged;asmallpartialareaappraisalresulthasthechangeofarank;theresultsoffewplaceshavehadthebigchange.Itshow

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