基于主成分分析我国外汇储备影响因素研究

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1、山东大学硕士学位论文CONTENTSChineseAbstract⋯．⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．．⋯．．⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．⋯．⋯⋯⋯IEnglishAbstract⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．IIChapter1Introduction．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．]l§1．1ResearchBackground⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．1§1．2ResearchLiteratureReview⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．2§1．3ResearchMethodandContent⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯

2、．5Chapter2PrincipalComponentAnalysis(PCA)⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯7§2．1BasicThoughtsofthePCA⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．7§2．2BasicTheoryofthePCA⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯952．2．1MathematicalmodelofthePCA⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．9§2．2．2SamplePrincipalComponent⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．11§2．2．3ConceptsandNatureAssociatedWiththePCA⋯⋯⋯．12§2．3InspectioninAdvanceonthe

3、PCA⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．13§2．3．1CorrelationMatrixofOriginalVariables⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯13§2．3．2KMOTest⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．14§2．3．3BartlettTest⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯15§2．4BasicStepsofthePCA⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．16Chapter3EconomicAnalysisontheRapidGrowthofChina’SForeignEx-changeReserves⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．17§3．1TheDomesticEconom

4、icDevelopment⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．18§3．2ChangesintheInternationalBalanceofPayment⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯20§3．2．1TheInfluenceoftheCurrentAccount⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．21——III——山东大学硕士学位论文§3．2．2TheInfluenceoftheCapitalandFinancialProjects⋯⋯24§3．3TheEconomicSystemofOurCountry⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．26§3．3．1ExportEncouragementForeignTradePoliciesand

5、ForeignPreferentialPolicies⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．26§3．3．2ForcedtoExchangeSettlementSystem⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．27§3．3．3RMBExchangeRateSystem⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．28Chapter4StatisticalAnalysisoftheFactorsAffectingChina’SForeignEx-changeReservesBasedonPCA⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．31§4．1SelectionofIndicators⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．3l§4．2Selecti

6、onofData⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．31§4．3DataProcessingandInspection⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯3254．3．1StandardizationProcessingofData⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．32§4．3．2CorrelationTestofData⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯33§4．4PrincipalComponentAnalysis⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯34§4．4．1DeterminationofPrincipalComponentsNumber⋯．⋯．．34§4．4．2ExtractionofthePrincipalComp

7、onents⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯36§4．5MultipleLinearRegressionAnalysis⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．38Chapter5ConclusionandResearchLimitations⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．44§5．1MainConclusions⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．44§5．2LimitationsoftheResearch⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯46References⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．47Acknowledgement⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．50一IV—山东大学