大宗商品市场2017年10月

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1、金融市场交易中心2017年10月大宗商品市场CommoditiesMarket概览10月，建行商品指数延续下跌趋势，收于1734.28，月跌幅6.78%。其中，煤炭、钢矿板块下跌9.87%，贵金属下跌1.51%，农产品板块小幅下跌0.30%，有色板块则上涨1.71%。内外盘商品价格走势数据来源：Wind、CCB1/39观点摘要2/39作者原油：崔悦钢铁：袁匡济铜：张航大豆：涂涵021-60637062021-60637071021-60637068021-60637065cuiyue1.zh@ccb.comyuankuangji.zh@ccb.comzh

2、anghang1.zh@ccb.comtuhan.zh@ccb.com复核陆怡烽陈浩021-60637061021-60637057luyifeng.zh@ccb.comchenhao1.zh@ccb.com审核格根021-60637055gegen.zh@ccb.com3/39目录原油........................................................................................................................................

3、.........................5一、市场回顾：多重利多因素刺激，油价创两年新高.............................................................................5二、页岩油产量持续上升，OPEC或将延长减产........................................................................................8三、后市展望：短期谨慎看多油价，关注延长减产进展..................

4、.....................................................12钢铁...............................................................................................................................................................14一、市场回顾：行情犹豫，宽幅震荡..............................................

5、.........................................................14二、影响因素分析：限产月临近，市场趋谨慎.......................................................................................15三、后市展望：供需两弱，宽幅震荡................................................................................................

6、.......21铜.......................................................................................................................................................................22一、市场回顾：铜价创年内新高后回落整理..................................................................................

7、.........22二、影响因素分析：基本面超预期，低库存逼退空头...........................................................................24三、后市展望：基本面紧平衡下，铜市场谨慎乐观...............................................................................30大豆................................................................

8、........................................