2019年 交通规划交通模式分割 ppt课件.ppt

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1、谭志加Office#616zjatanmail.hust.edu华中科技大学管理学院交通组织运输学The4-StepModelLanduseandsocioeconomicprojectionDirect(user)impactTransportationsystemspecificationTripgenerationTripdistributionModalchoiceNetworkassignmentTransportationPlanning123456789ModalchoiceO/D12341xxxxxxxxxxxx2x

2、xxxxxxxxxxx3xxxxxxxxxxxx4xxxxxxxxxxxxtrainO/D12341xxxxxxxxxxxx2xxxxxxxxxxxx3xxxxxxxxxxxx4xxxxxxxxxxxxbusO/D12341xxxxxxxxxxxx2xxxxxxxxxxxx3xxxxxxxxxxxx4xxxxxxxxxxxxautoTransportationPlanningTransportationPlanningModalChoiceOverviewMethodologiesDiscretechoiceanalysisLogi

3、tmodelsTransportationPlanningModeusage(modalchoice,ormodalsplit)analysisistoestimatetheproportionoftrip-makerstravelingbetweeneachpairoforigin-destinationzoneswhoarelikelytouseeachmode(publictransitorauto).Understandthefactorsthatinfluenceindividualchoicesoftravelmodes

4、EvaluatetheimpactsofalternativetransportpoliciesonmodalsplitHowtoachieveabalanceduseofdifferenttravelmodesthroughefficienttrafficcontrolandmanagement(e.g.roadpricing)ObjectivesofModalChoiceAnalysisTransportationPlanningFactorsInfluencingtheChoiceofModeCharacteristicsof

5、theTrip-makerCaravailabilityand/orownershipPossessionofadrivinglicenseHouseholdstructureIncomeResidentialdensityCharacteristicsoftheJourney(Trip)ThetrippurposeTimeofDaywhenthejourneyisundertakenTransportationPlanningFactorsInfluencingtheChoiceofModeCharacteristicsofthe

6、TransportFacilityQuantitativefactorssuchas:RelativetraveltimeRelativemonetarycostsAvailabilityandcostofparkingQualitativefactors(lesseasytomeasure)suchas:ComfortandconvenienceReliabilityandregularityTransportationPlanningBasicConsiderationofModalChoiceThefactorsinfluen

7、cingthechoiceofmodesareusedasindependentvariablestobeincludedinmathematicalmodelsofmodalchoice.Thedependentvariablebeingthemarketshareorthepercentoftravelersthatareexpectedtouseeachoftheavailablemodes.Theplannerlooksathowthesecharacteristicsinteracttojointlyaffectthetr

8、ipmaker'schoiceofmode.Whentherelationshipshavebeendiscovered,theplannercanpredicthowthepopulationofthefuturewillchoos