交通规划-交通模式分割

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1、谭志加Office#616zjatan@mail.hust.edu.cn华中科技大学管理学院交通组织运输学The4-StepModelLanduseandsocioeconomicprojectionDirect(user)impactTransportationsystemspecificationTripgenerationTripdistributionModalchoiceNetworkassignmentTransportationPlanning123456789ModalchoiceO/D12341xxxxxxxxxxxx2xxx

2、xxxxxxxxx3xxxxxxxxxxxx4xxxxxxxxxxxxtrainO/D12341xxxxxxxxxxxx2xxxxxxxxxxxx3xxxxxxxxxxxx4xxxxxxxxxxxxbusO/D12341xxxxxxxxxxxx2xxxxxxxxxxxx3xxxxxxxxxxxx4xxxxxxxxxxxxautoTransportationPlanningTransportationPlanningModalChoiceOverviewMethodologiesDiscretechoiceanalysisLogitmodelsT

3、ransportationPlanningModeusage(modalchoice,ormodalsplit)analysisistoestimatetheproportionoftrip-makerstravelingbetweeneachpairoforigin-destinationzoneswhoarelikelytouseeachmode(publictransitorauto).UnderstandthefactorsthatinfluenceindividualchoicesoftravelmodesEvaluatetheimp

4、actsofalternativetransportpoliciesonmodalsplitHowtoachieveabalanceduseofdifferenttravelmodesthroughefficienttrafficcontrolandmanagement(e.g.roadpricing)ObjectivesofModalChoiceAnalysisTransportationPlanningFactorsInfluencingtheChoiceofModeCharacteristicsoftheTrip-makerCaravai

5、labilityand/orownershipPossessionofadrivinglicenseHouseholdstructureIncomeResidentialdensityCharacteristicsoftheJourney(Trip)ThetrippurposeTimeofDaywhenthejourneyisundertakenTransportationPlanningFactorsInfluencingtheChoiceofModeCharacteristicsoftheTransportFacilityQuantitat

6、ivefactorssuchas:RelativetraveltimeRelativemonetarycostsAvailabilityandcostofparkingQualitativefactors(lesseasytomeasure)suchas:ComfortandconvenienceReliabilityandregularityTransportationPlanningBasicConsiderationofModalChoiceThefactorsinfluencingthechoiceofmodesareusedasind

7、ependentvariablestobeincludedinmathematicalmodelsofmodalchoice.Thedependentvariablebeingthemarketshareorthepercentoftravelersthatareexpectedtouseeachoftheavailablemodes.Theplannerlooksathowthesecharacteristicsinteracttojointlyaffectthetripmaker'schoiceofmode.Whentherelations

8、hipshavebeendiscovered,theplannercanpredicthowthepopulationofthefuturewillc