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《银发中国-中国养老政策的人口和经济分析》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库。
1、RichardJacksonNeilHowe126813154212020232732333536A2TheGrayingoftheMiddleKingdomJohnJ.HamreRodgerA.Lawson120041120402811204020305010203030200221978120022200261521970205035%30%25%20%15%19707%14%200010%16%10%201515%20%204028%25%5%205031%25%0%19701975198019851990199520002005201020152020202520302035204
2、0204520502003142132000$33,939$35,000$30,000$26,707$24,923$23,356$23,643$25,000$20,000$17,579$15,000$10,000$3,936$5,000$0ChinaSouthKoreaSingaporeEU15HongKongJapanUS2003224323200032015320034200235%32%30%25%21%20%15%10%5%4%5%0%20032003353515596035460151949155960195020508.0200020407.03.92.36.06.42.06.
3、21.55.0152.81.56.41.54.04.81.43.02.71.12.01.00.0195019551960196519701975198019851990199520002005201020152020202520302035204020452050200346WillChinagetrichbeforeitgetsold?Chapter1720152029197058182154170206194920028.07.019496.119604.06.019705.85.019802.219902.24.020021.83.02.01.00.01950195519601965
4、1970197519801985199019952000581950200070686767706563606050504541401950-551995-0041704874306976607720677815617910648101950-551955-601960-651965-701970-751975-801980-851985-901990-951995-002003620321120109155919752045200163200550150124-18%107-35%10050330-29-50-43-77-1001975-19851985-19951995-2005200
5、5-20152015-20252025-20352035-2045200372015420041120151520302420402832444420157422040502040435410205044184200261710181813205018352040322820501353518135201912105195020501,5001,20090060020292019300019501955196019651970197519801985199019952000200520102015202020252030203520402045205020038520021112TheGr
6、ayingoftheMiddleKingdom200260%55%50%10%40%45%30%20%11%10%0%200396200210102591075%15%807%903%556020031062002200213中国的养老金系统比人口老得更快工作年龄人口(15-59岁)与老年人(60岁以上)人口比率所构成的老年赡养率,与基本养老系统中被覆盖的职工与的退休人员比率,1989-20038.07.57.37.16.96.76.57.06.46.3老年赡养率6.05.45.2率5.04.4养4.03.93.4系统赡养率3.23.2赡3.03.02.01.00.019891991199
7、319951997199920012003来源:联合国(2003)和劳动及社会保障部(2003和2004)图11让一些女职工早至40岁就退休男职工早至50岁下降的赡养比率直接体现为成本上升尽管各省退休被称为40-50现象平均下来在57缴费率有显著差别基本养老保险的缴费占了工岁时一半所有参加基本养老保险的男性职工已资水平的24%比美国社会保障系统缴费率高出一经退休女职工的相应年龄仅50岁7倍如果加上强制性的医疗保险费失业保
