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ID:46506738
大小:61.50 KB
页数:17页
时间:2019-11-24
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1、《斫宪丈英得橢篠教程》(第三版Q中国人民大学出版社PartSummary•[1-2]■JohnTierneyoutlinesthebetandthedifferencesbetweenthetwosides.Twointellectualschoolsdebatewhethertheworldisgettingbetterorgoingtothedogs・PartSummary■[3-4]■thedoomsterandhisproposition■Erhrichpredictedthatnbefore1985mankindwillenteranageofscarcity'*inwhic
2、h”theaccessiblesuppliesofmanykeymineralswillbenearingdepletion”.PartSummary■[5-6]■theboomsterandhispointofview■Simonbelievesthatpopulationgrowthconstitutesnotacrisisbutaboonthatwillultimatelymeanacleanerenvironmentandahealthierhumanity.PartSummary■[7-9]■Howthebetcameintobeing.PartSummary■[10-11]
3、■Erhrich'spredictionsandthereality■Ehrlichwasrightaboutworldpopulation.Yetsomehowtheaveragepersonishealthierandwealthier.Andthingshaven'trunoutyet.PartSummary■[12-20]■Simon'soppositepropositionstowardsErhrich'spredictions■Simonbelievedthathumaningenuitycouldindefinitelyexpandtheplanefscarryingca
4、pacity.PartSummary■[21-23]■SimonhadneverenjoyedEhrlich'sacademicsuccess,whenitcametowinningoverpopularity.■Manyscientistsareuncomfortablewithhissweepingoptimism・thereisnoguaranteethatpasttrendswillcontinue-buttheconsensushasbeenshiftingagainstEhrlich'sideaofpopulationgrowthasthegreatevil.PartSum
5、mary■[24-26]■ThebetendedinSimon'ssuccessduetothedeclineinpricePartSummary■[27-28]■Newproblemsdoexist,buttherewillbeawayout.TextSummary■Whatistherelationshipbetweenmankindandtheearth?TherewasafiercedebatebetweenPaulR.Ehrlich,anecologist,andJulianL.Simon,aneconomist.Theirdebateinnatureisbetweendoo
6、mstersandboomstersoveraviewoftheplanet'sultimatelimitsandavisionofhumanity'sdestiny.Ehrlichbelievedthatpopulationgrowthwouldresultindepletionofresources・However,Simonheldtheideathattheresourceswerenotfinite・Withthepopulationgrowth,morepeoplewouldproducemorebrightideastosolvetheproblem.Thekeypoin
7、tofSimorTsargumentwasthathumaningenuitycouldindefinitelyexpandtheplanet'scarryingcapacitywhileEhrlich'sideaabouttheworldwasthatagiganticpopulationcrashwouldinevitablyoccur.Fromthedebateitmaybeconcludedthatthedangerdoesexist,
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