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1、NEWASPECTSofSIGNALPROCESSING,COMPUTATIONALGEOMETRYandARTIFICIALVISIONImpactofECFAontrendofexchangeratebetweenNTDandRMBbasedonGreyPredictionModelCHIEN-CHIHTU*,AN-PINCHENInstituteofInformationManagementChiaoTungUniversity1001TaHsuehRoad,Hsinchu,300TAIWANderek.cctu@gmail.com,
2、apc@iim.nctu.edu.twAbstract:-Beginningfrom2001inwhichbothTaiwanandChinajoinedWorldTradeOrganization(WTO),alargenumberofTaiwanesemanufacturershavemovedtheirplantsacrossTaiwanStraighttoChinainsearchforcheaperlaborforceregardlessofthepoliticaltensionsbetweentwocountries.Witht
3、hegradualeasingofcross-straitpoliticaltensionaftertheinaugurationofpro-ChinapresidentofTaiwan,theTaiwanGovernmentstartingfrom2009hasbeenpromotingthe"EconomicCooperationFrameworkAgreement"(ECFA)throughwhichthegovernmentclaimsthecross-straiteconomicandtraderelationscouldbefu
4、rtherenhancedandTaiwancouldavoidbeing“marginalized”fromtheregionaleconomicsystem.Additionally,asthetwocountriesgraduallyliftrestrictionsontheinvestmentandremovetariffbarriersthecross-straiteconomicisboundtobemorecloselyandthetradeexchangesaresettoskyrocket.However,sincethe
5、bilateraltradeorinvestmentisgenerallythroughtheU.S.dollarthefluctuationincurrencyexchangeratemayserveasoneoftheimportantfactorswhenthebusinessmakestheinvestmentdecision.Therefore,thispaperappliesGreypredictionmethodofGreytheorytotheforecastoftheexchangeratebetweenNTdollara
6、ndRMBonwhichTaiwanenterprisescoulddependwhenformulatingtheirinvestmentstrategiesofinvestingmoreinChinaorTaiwan.Key-Words:-GreySystem,GreyPrediction,ExchangeRate,ECFA1.IntroductionAccordingtothestatisticsfromministerofeconomicaffair(MOEA),thenumberofapplicationsforTaiwan-ba
7、sedenterprisestoinvestinChinafrom1991toApril2010standsat38,704withthetotalamountoftheinvestmentreaching86.804billionsU.S.dollars,accountingfor57.58%offoreigninvestmentsforTaiwan-basedcompanies.RegardlessofwhetherTaiwancompaniesover-relyontheChinamarket,Chinahasbeenthemosti
8、mportantbusinesspartnersfromtheviewpointsoftheTaiwan-basedcompanies.Intermsoftradevolumes