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ID:39593171
大小:551.39 KB
页数:23页
时间:2019-07-06
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1、2IssuesinSystemReliabilityandRiskModelHyunGookKangIntegratedSafetyAssessmentDivisionKoreaAtomicEnergyResearchInstitute1045Daedeok-daero,Yuseong-gu,Daejeon,305-353,Koreahgkang@kaeri.re.krTheapplicationoflarge-scaledigitalorcomputersystemsinvolvesmanycomponents,el
2、ements,andmodules.Systemreliabilityandsafetyneedtobecalculatednomatterhowcomplicatedisthestructure.Estimationofsystemreliability/safetyprovidesusefulinformationforsystemdesignandverification.Riskallocationtothedesignedsysteminabalancedmannerisanapplicationexampl
3、e.Themostconservativemethodforestimatingsystemfailureprobabilityissummingupfailureprobabilitiesofcomponents.Theresultofthisconservativecalculationequalssystemfailureprobabilityforaseriesofindependentcomponents.Reliabilityofaseriesofcomponentsisthelowerboundaryof
4、systemreliability.Redundantcomponentsandstandbycomponentsareconsideredinordertoestimaterealisticreliability.Amoduleconsistsofmanycomponentsandasystemconsistsofseveralkindsofmodules.Ananalyticcalculationofthereliabilityorriskbasedontheinformationofmodulestructure
5、andcomponentreliabilitiesisrelativelysimple.Ananalyticmodelforthereliabilityorriskestimatesatthesystemleveliscomplexandsometimesdifficulttodevelop.Conventionalmethodologiesareusedwithroughassumptionsifthereliabilitymodelingisforadecisionwhichdoesnotrequirehighac
6、curacy,suchasthedeterminationofthenumberofsparemodulesforanon-safety-criticalsystem.Eventheuseofthelowerboundaryvalueofsystemreliabilityispossibleforsimplicity.Morecomplicatedrelationshipsamongsystemfunctionsshouldbemodeledfortheaccurateandrealisticestimationofr
7、iskfromsafety-criticalsystems.Thefaultsinanadvanceddigitalsystemaremonitoredbyaself-monitoringalgorithmandrecoveredbeforethefaultcausessystemfailure.Protectingasystemfromcatastrophicdamageispossibleeventhoughitisnotpossibletorecoverthefault.Multiple-channelproce
8、ssingsystemsmighthavecross-monitoringfunctionsandindependentheartbeat-monitoringequipmentcanalsobeinstalledinthesystems.Intelligenceandflexibilityfrommicroprocessorsa
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