Power system planning - reliability book chap13

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1、Sheblé,GeraldB.“PowersystemPlanning(Reliability)”TheElectricPowerEngineeringHandbookEd.L.L.GrigsbyBocaRaton:CRCPressLLC,200113PowerSystemPlanning(Reliability)GeraldB.ShebléIowaStateUniversity13.1PlanningGeraldB.Sheblé13.2Short-TermLoadandPriceForecastingwithA

2、rtificialNeuralNetworksAlirezaKhotanzad13.3TransmissionPlanEvaluation—AssessmentofSystemReliabilityN.DagReppenandJamesW.Feltes13.4PowerSystemPlanningHydeM.Merrill13.5PowerSystemReliabilityRichardE.Brown©2001CRCPressLLC13PowerSystemPlanning(Reliability)13.1Plan

3、ningDefiningaCompetitiveFramework13.2Short-TermLoadandPriceForecastingwithArtificialNeuralNetworksArtificialNeuralNetworks•Short-TermLoadForecasting•Short-TermPriceForecastingGeraldB.Sheblé13.3TransmissionPlanEvaluation—AssessmentofIowaStateUniversitySystemRelia

4、bilityAlirezaKhotanzadBulkPowerSystemReliabilityandSupplyPointReliability•SouthernMethodistUniversityMethodsforAssessingSupplyPointReliability•ProbabilisticReliabilityAssessmentMethods•ApplicationExamplesN.DagReppen13.4PowerSystemPlanningNiskayunaPowerConsult

5、ants,LLCPlanningEntities•Arenas•ThePlanningProblem•PlanningProcessesJamesW.Feltes13.5PowerSystemReliabilityPowerTechnologiesNERCRegions•SystemAdequacyAssessment•SystemHydeM.MerrillSecurityAssessment•ProbabilisticSecurityAssessment•MerrilEnergy,LLCDistribution

6、SystemReliability•DistributionReliabilityIndices•StormsandMajorEvents•ComponentReliabilityRichardE.BrownData•UtilityReliabilityProblems•ReliabilityEconomics•ABBPowerT&DCompanyAnnualVariationsinReliability13.1PlanningGeraldB.ShebléCapacityexpansiondecisionsare

7、madedailybygovernmentagencies,privatecorporations,partnerships,andindividuals.Mostdecisionsaresmallrelativetotheprofitandlosssheetofmostcompanies.However,manydecisionsaresufficientlylargetodeterminethefuturefinancialhealthofthenation,company,partnership,orindivi

8、dual.Capacityexpansionofhydroelectricfacilitiesmayrequirethecommitmentoffinancialcapitalexceedingtheincomeofmostsmallcountries.Capacityexpansionofthermalfossilfuelplantsisnotassevere,butdo