NBSO 10 Year Outlook 2011-12

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1、NewBrunswickSystemOperator10-YearOutlOOk:anassessmentOftheadequacYOfGeneratiOnandtransmissiOnfacilitiesinnewBrunswick2011-2021May20111tableofcontentseXecutiVesummarY...............................................................2listOftaBlestable1:NewBrunswick10

2、-yearloadForecast...................41.0intrOductiOn....................................................................3table2:MajorloadForecastassumptions.............................4table3:SensitivitiesofloadForecastassumptions...........52.0lOadfOrecast....

3、.............................................................4table4:NewBrunswickGenerationresources...................72.1annualrequirements...............................................................4table5:SummaryofNewBrunswickGeneration2.2HistoricalandFor

4、ecastrequirements..............................5Changes...............................................................................82.3DemandSideManagementForecast................................6table6:NBSOlistofQueuedSystemImpact3.0GeneratiOnresOurces......

5、.....................................7Studies(april1,2011)...................................................93.1existingGenerationresources...........................................7table7:loadandresourcesreviewfor3.2ChangesinCapacity..........................

6、.....................................8NewBrunswick2011/12to2020/21...................113.3NewBrunswickGenerationCapacityForecast...........8table8:InterconnectiontransferCapability.........................133.4SystemImpactStudies.................................

7、..........................8table9:transmissionprojectCostCategories..................153.5ImpactofGreenhouseGasemissions.............................9listOffiGures4.0resOurceadequacY................................................10Figure1:MonthlyConsumptionofan

8、nualSystem4.1OperatingreserveCriterion..............................................10Netenergy.......................................................................