Mobile Network Traffic Forecasting

Mobile Network Traffic Forecasting

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时间:2019-07-02

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1、MobileNetworkTrafficForecastingPeterDarwood,IanOppermann,SteveJakasWarrenLintonSouthemPoroCommunicationsCable&WirelessOptus355AYoungStreet,AnnandaleMelbourne,VictoriaNSW2038,AustraliaAustraliaPeterD@southem-poro.comWarren.Linton@cwo.com.auAbstractwouldgenerallybe

2、installedwithaminimalnumberoftransceivers.AdditionaltransceiverswouldthenbeaddedThispaperdealswiththeimportanttopicofnetworkastrafficlevelsonthecellincreased.traficpredictionforthepurposesofmanagingthemobileTheimportanceoftrafficforecastligcannotbenetworkthrought

3、heprocessofmaturation.understatedonsuchanetwork,wheretheneedforAstraficlevelsincreasetherequirementsonnetworkacceptableservicequalityhastobeweighedagainsttheresourcesbecomestretchedtothepointthatgradeofcostandtimeinvolvedincommissioningnewbaseservice(GoS)requirem

4、entsarenotmet.Thesolutiontostationsorinstallingadditionaltransceivers.Atypicalthisisthedeploymentofadditionalnetworkhardware,belead-timeforanewsitetobein-serviceiaoftheorderofittransceivers,underlaycells,ornewmacroormicro12months,whilstnewtransceiversmaytakeuptoa

5、cellularinstallations.monthtoinstall.ThetoolpresentedinthispapercanaccuratelypredictInthepast,engineershaveoftenbasedthetrafficareasoflowGoS,orfuture‘hot-spots’,inamulti-forecastingprocessuponspreadsheetanalysisoracell-by-dimensionalmannerforinstancetoallowfordif

6、ferentcelldatabaseanalysistechnique.Thespreadsheetmanagementorbillingstrategies)andindicatetheapproachrequiresasignificantamountofpreparation,appropriatehardwaredeploymentplansrequired.whilstcell-by-cellapproachesoftendonottakethesurroundingareaorcellsintoconside

7、ration.Inaddition,theaccuracyoftheseforecastshasdependedontheskill1Introductionandexperienceoftheengineerengaged.Furthermore,thespreadsheetapproachisrealisticallylimitedtotheaccurateforecastingofsmallregionsofcoverageandasingleAtypicalwirelessmobilephonenetworkco

8、mprisesa‘dimension’oftrafficlevels.numberofbasestationsdistributedacrossanareaofTheoutlinedmobilenetworktrafficforecastingcoverage.Eachbasestationiscapableofha

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