贵金属投资技术分析英文版 (30)

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1、OperatingThoughtsonPreciousMetalsMarketunderUncertaintyTanYalingChinaForexInvestmentResearchInstituteShanghaiFuturesExchangePreciousMetalsInternationalSeminarMay28th,2013Situationanalysisandclearreasoningunderacontextofuncertainty1.Complicatedsituations:toosimple

2、andshort-sightedarguingandlotsofplatitudes;2.Unprecedentedcircumstances:conventional,superficialandscriptedestimations;3.Worstnatureinacentury:singlesidedandpartialjudgmentsfueledbypublicopinions;USDollarisapowerfulcurrencythatboaststhecapabilitiesandinsightstogo

3、vernthemarket(verystrongposition).USDollarisalsoaproblematiccurrencythatisbuiltonthecontradictsandrisksarisingfromtheunevenbasisandglobalplundering(hugerisk).I.Basisofshort-termgoldunchanged1.Supportedbyliquidity2.Complementedbythereservepolicyofthecentralbank3.F

4、ueledbyspeculativebehaviors4.InherentlyfunctioningasahedgingtoolII.Hardlychangedmedium-termtendency1.USdollar-denominatedproduct2.Long-termriskresistancecapabilityofUSdollar3.ThebasisofforeignexchangereservesIII.Long-termprospectneededtobechanged1.Ametalmustbesub

5、jecttothefinancialstructure;thegoldstandardsystemnevercomesback.2.Thepricesystemservesforthevaluestructure;thegoldbelongstothesystemofUSdollar.3.GlobalfinancialstructureisshapedbythestrategicdefinitionofUSdollars;anewsituationoftripartiteconfrontation.USDGoldOilO

6、bservationongoldinvestmentopportunitiesWhatopportunitiesarecreatedbyadollar-dominatedera?Whatdrivesthedollardepreciationstrategy?Whatisthepurposeofthedollarreservestrategy?Howisthedollarcompetitionstrategydesigned?WilltheDollardenominationstaythesame?Willthedolla

7、rshareanddominationstaythesame?Withthedollarsystemandstrategystaythesame？Riskjudgmentongoldinvestment?1.Apotentialriskonthedropofgoldpricealongwiththeballooningequity:willitbeshort-term?2.ApotentialriskontheslumpofgoldpricedrivenbythecollapseofEURO:willitbemedium

8、-term?3.Apotentialriskontheskyrocketingofgoldpriceduetotheincontrollabledollars:willitbelong-term?4.Isitpossiblethattheglobalvaluesystemwillbereconstructed?wil