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1、word格式文档供求关系对房地产价格的影响分析摘要随着我国经济的快速发展,房地产业对国民经济的基础作用、先导作用和支柱作用日益突出,商品房作为房地产中最主要的组成部分,其发展、变化和运行情况直接影响整个房地产行业的发展,进而影响着国民经济的运行和国民的生活质量。近几年来,我国大部分大中城市的房地产价格达到了相当的高位,并且呈现出持续上涨之势,严重超过了我国绝大多数国民的心理承受能力和实际购买力,对此,我国的房地产价格亟需进行调控和抑制,以稳定房地产市场。房地产价格持续快速上涨的主要原因是商品房的供需失衡,因此,本论文选择商品房的供给与需求为研究对象,再根据一般供求定理,利用计
2、量经济学知识和EViews运行软件,通过从中国统计局收集到的样本数据,引入房地产价格与商品房供给,房地产价格与商品房需求的关系模型,并通过经济学检验、变量的拟合优度、回归方程的显著性和异方差性检验等方法来验证模型的正确性。根据房地产价格与商品房供给和需求模型的研究分析结果,结合目前我国房地产市场的发展现状和存在的问题,为我国抑制房价持续上涨、稳定房地产市场提出几点合理的政策性建议。关键词 房地产价格;供需失衡;模型分析;政策性建议专业整理-word格式文档TheAnalysisontheImpactofSupplyandDemandonRealEstatePriceAbstr
3、actWithChina'srapideconomicdevelopment,theroleoftherealestateindustryonthebasisofthenationaleconomy,theleadingroleandpillarincreasinglyprominentroleincommercialrealestateasthemostimportantcomponentofitsdevelopment,change,anddirectlyaffecttheoperationoftheentirerealestateindustry,therebyaffe
4、ctingtheoperationofthenationaleconomyandthepeople'squalityoflife.Inrecentyears,mostofourcitiesrealestatepricesreachedafairlyhighlevel,andshowingarisingtrend,thevastmajorityofourcitizensseriouslythanmentalcapacityandtheactualpurchasingpower,which,China'srealestatepricesurgentneedforregulatio
5、nandsuppression,tostabilizetherealestatemarket.Realestatepricescontinuedtoriserapidlymainlyduetorealestatesupplyanddemandimbalance,therefore,thispaperchoosehousingsupplyanddemandastheresearchobject,accordingtothegeneralsupplyanddemandtheory,knowledgeanduseofeconometricsoftwareEViewsrunsthro
6、ughthecollectionfromtheChineseBureauofStatisticstosampledata,the专业整理-word格式文档introductionofrealestatepricesandhousingsupply,housingpricesandhousingdemandrelationshipmodel,andthrougheconometrictesting,goodnessoffitvariables,thesignificanceoftheregressionequationandheteroscedasticitytestsando
7、thermethodstovalidatethemodelcorrectness.Accordingtorealestatepricesandthehousingsupplyanddemandmodelofanalysisresults,combinedwiththecurrentdevelopmentstatusofChina'srealestatemarketandproblemsforChinatocurbhousingpricescontinuedtorise,stabilizethereale