资源描述：
《Global Oil Geopolitics.pdf》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库。
1、GlobalOilGeopoliticsRioOil&GasConferenceSeptember17,2012
2、RiodeJaneiro,BrazilAdamSieminskiAdministratorU.S.EnergyInformationAdministrationIndependentStatistics&Analysiswww.eia.govCrudeoilpricesreacttoavarietyofgeopoliticalandeconomiceventspriceperbarrel(real2010dollars,quarterl
3、yaverage)140GlobalfinancialcollapseimportedrefineracquisitioncostofcrudeoilWTIcrudeoilprice120100Iran-IraqWarLowsparecapacity80Saudisabandon9-11attacksU.S.spareswingproducerrole60capacityexhaustedAsianfinancialcrisis40OPECcutstargets4.2mmbpd20IranianrevolutionOPECcutstargetsAr
4、abOilEmbargoIraqinvadesKuwait1.7mmbpd0197019751980198519901995200020052010Sources:U.S.EnergyInformationAdministration,ThomsonReutersAdamSieminski2September17,2012WorldOilMarketAdamSieminskiSeptember10,20123Economicgrowthhasastrongimpactonoilconsumptionpercentchange(year-on-yea
5、r)12non-OECDliquidfuelsconsumptionForecastnon-OECDGDP1086420-2-42001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013Sources:U.S.EnergyInformationAdministrationShortTermEnergyOutlook,September2012andThomsonReutersAdamSieminskiSeptember17,20124Non-OECDliquidfuelsuseisexpectedtos
6、urpassesalmostflatOECDliquidfuelsuseinthenearfuturetotalliquidsconsumptionmillionbarrelsperdayHistory2010Projections706260Non-OECD504648OECD4040%4130Othernon-OECD2035%1019%OECDAmericas020002005201020152020202520302035Source:U.S.EnergyInformationAdministration,AnnualEnergyOutlo
7、ok2012AdamSieminskiSeptember17,20125InOECDcountries,priceincreaseshavecoincidedwithlowerconsumptionpercentchange(year-on-year)priceperbarrel(real2010dollars)6135Forecast49024500-2-45OECDliquidfuelsconsumption(leftaxis)WTIcrudeoilprice(rightaxis)-4-90-6-135200120022003200420052
8、0062007200820092010201120122013Sources:EIAShortTermEnergyOutlook,ThomsonReutersAdamSieminskiSeptember17,20126Risingoilpriceshelddownglobaloilconsumptiongrowthfrom2005-2008,despitehigheconomicgrowthpercentchange(year-on-year)priceperbarrel(real2010dollars)6135Forecast49024500-2
9、-45Worldliquidfuelsconsumption(leftaxis)WorldGDPWTIcrudeoilpr
