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1、Onasolidprofitablegrowthpath2018GlobalaerospaceanddefenseindustryoutlookContentsExecutivesummary1Commercialaircraftsectoroutlook2Defensesectoroutlook6Regionalperspectives9Majoraerospaceanddefenseindustrytrends12OutlookforM&Aactivityin201815Globalaerospaceanddefenseindustryshareholderreturn17
2、performance2017financialperformance18Endnotes21Authors25Contacts25Onasolidprofitablegrowthpath
3、2018GlobalaerospaceanddefenseindustryoutlookExecutivesummaryAfterayearofsubduedgrowthin2017,theglobalaerospaceanddefense(A&D)industryisexpectedtostrengthenin20182018ForecastwithDeloitteforecastingi
4、ndustryrevenuestogrowbyabout4.1percent.Theindustryclosedthe2017yearwith2.1percentrevenuegrowth,inlinewithDeloitte’sforecastof2.0percent(refertoDeloitte’s2017Globalaerospaceanddefenseindustryoutlook).GlobalA&Dindustryrevenueprojectedtogrow4.1percentin2018.Recoveryinglobalgrossdomesticproduct(
5、GDP)growth,stablecommodityprices–includingcrudeoil–andgrowthinpassengertraveldemand,especiallyinAsia-Pacific,theMiddleEast,andtheLatinAmericaregion,islikelytodrivethecommercialaircraftCommercialaircraftsectorrevenuesexpectedtosectorgrowthin2018.Attheendof2017,commercialaircraftgrow4.8percent
6、asproductionlevelsarelikelytobacklogremainedatanall-timehighofabout14,000units,berobust.representingnineandahalfyearsofcurrentannualproductionrate.Weexpectnearly100additionalaircrafttobeproducedin2018,comparedto2017asaircraftmanufacturersrampupproductioninresponsetogrowingaircraftdemand.Defe
7、nsesectorrevenueslikelytorecord3.6percentgrowthastheUSdefensebudgetreturnsOnthedefensesectorside,heightenedglobalsecuritythreats,togrowthafterexperiencingmulti-yeardeclines.recoveryinUSdefensebudgets,aswellashigherdefensespendingfromothermajorregionalpowerssuchasIndia,China,andJapanarelikely
8、todriveglobaldefensesectorrevenuegrowthin2018andbeyond.Asglobaltensionsrise,defensespendingCommercialaircraftsector’soperatingprofitsgrowthislikelytocontinueoverthenextfiveyears.Deloitteestimatedtobeup18.5percent,whereas,defenseestimatesglobaldefen
