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1、念模型的参考借鉴，以期对房地产行业营运资金管理与预算管理和风险管理的融合提供借鉴。关键词：经营活动营运资金需求；宏观环境；战略性管理因素；战术性执行因素万方数据ResearchOnThePredictionOfOperatingWorkingCapitalRequirementInRealEstateAbstractRealestateindustryisthepillarindustryofnationaleconomy,whichhasastrongindustrialpromotion.Foritsenormouscapital,longproductionperiodandpolicy
2、limited,workingcapitalmanagementofrealestateisextremelydifficultandimportant.Rapidturnoverbringstofluentcashflow;liquidityrisktakesrootintherelationshipofcapitalfinancingandcapitalneed.Thepredictionofoperatingworkingcapitalrequirementcouldmonitortheusageofcapitalamongdifferentprojectsofrealestate,ra
3、isingmoneythroughvariouschannelstimelytoavoidtheriskofcapitalchainrupture,provideanewtoolofriskmanagement.Otherstakeholderssuchasbankscanalsoassesstheenterprise'screditstatustodecidethelineofcredit.Thepredictionofoperatingworkingcapitalrequirementinrealestateshouldbebasedonthescientificdefinitionofw
4、orkingcapitalrequirement.Fromtheperspectiveoffundingsourcesanduses,theeconomicbehaviorcanbedefinedasfinancingactivitiesandoperatingactivities.Financingservesoperatingforthevaluecreation.Sooperatingworkingcapitalrequirementcanbedefinedasoperatingcurrentassetsminusoperatingcurrentliabilities,whichisth
5、erealfinancingneededexternally.Thenanalysistheinfluencefactorsofoperatingworkingcapitalrequirementinrealestatefromtheenvironmentaldimension,organizationaldimensionandmanagerialdimension,includinginflation,macroeconomicregulationandcontrolpolicy,sizeandgrowthoftheenterprise,propertyright,fundmanageme
6、ntmode,supplychainmanagement,businessprocessesandinformationtechnologylevel.Macroeconomicpoliciesinfluencetheenterpriseoperatingbyinfluencingtheeconomicforecast,thecostofcapitalandtheinformationenvironment.Thestrategicfactorsinfluencethesizeofoperatingworkingcapitalrequirementandthetacticalfactorsin
7、fluencetheprecisionofoperatingworkingcapitalrequirement.Thestrategicmanagementmodethroughinformationsharing,resourcesharing,mutualtrustmechanism,decision-makingpowertoaffecttheneedofoperatingworkingca
