宏观经济因素对不同行业股票收益率影响的对比分析

宏观经济因素对不同行业股票收益率影响的对比分析

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时间:2018-12-02

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1、-------AbstractTheoperationofChina'ssecuritiesmarketandthereturnofthestockshave far-reachingsignificancetotherationalallocationofresources.Undertheimpactof variousmacroeconomicfactors,howtomaintainfinancialassets’valuehasbeenahot topicfortheeconomists.Contents

2、ofthispaperistoinvestigatetherelationships betweenthedifferentsectorsofmacroeconomicfactorsandstockreturnsand understandthemacroeconomicandstockmarketsituation,withabetter understandingoftherelationshipbetweentherealeconomyandcapitalmarkets.Then theinvestorsca

3、ninvestandallocatetheirassetsinthemarkeraccordingtoits guidance,whichhastheimportantmeaning.Firstly,thispaperdescribesthestudyoftherelationshipbetweenmacroeconomic variablesandstockindexreturnsaswellasresearchoninflationandindustrystock indexreturns,whicharebo

4、thfromthedomesticandinternationalresearches.And thenIwillsummarythemethodofsolvingthemainquestionsinthispaperasfor furtherin-depthanalysis.Then,Idotheresearchofatheoreticalanalysisforfactorsthataffectstockreturns. Andtherearealotofmainstreamtheoryisgenerallydi

5、videdinto:macroeconomic factors,mesoandmicrofactors.Macroeconomicfactorsinclude:macroeconomic factors,macroeconomicpolicyfactors,andothermacroeconomicfactors;meso factorsinclude:industrialfactors,regionalfactorsandmarketfactors;microeconomic factorsinclude:equ

6、ityfactors,liquidityfactors,businessfactors,investmentfactors, backgroundfactorsandsoon.Fromariskperspectivedivision,microfactorsare generallyclassifiedasnon-systemicfactorsandmacroeconomicfactorsandmeso factorsareclassifiedassystemicfactors.Thispaperanalyzest

7、heinfluenceof macroeconomicfactorsonstockreturnsofdifferentindustries.Thethirdchapterestablishedthevarmoderofindustrialaddedvaluegrowthrate, moneysupplygrowth,inflationrate,importandexport,exchangerateandstock returnsinvariousindustriestounderstandthedepthofth

8、eimpactofmacroeconomic factorsonstockreturnsofdifferentindustries.Throughempiricalanalysis,wecan knowthatthechangeforeachstockreturnsperformancealagofmacroeconomic factors.Andthest

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