美国电信基础设施Roz报告:我们能从财报中得到什 么?

美国电信基础设施Roz报告:我们能从财报中得到什 么?

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时间:2018-08-10

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1、COREU.S.Comm.Infrastructure&TechnologyTheRozReport:WhatHaveWeLearnedfromEarningsThusFarAmajorityofcomm.infrastructureprovidershaveyettoreportearnings.However,INDUSTRYUPDATEU.S.TelecomServicesNEUTRALUnchangedEquityResearch30July2018resultsfromseveralserviceprovidersandte

2、chnologyvendorsalikehaveprovidedanumberofinsightsintoseveralkeytrendsthataretopofmindforinvestors.Whiletherearenotablenuancesamongdifferentoperators,atahighlevel,smallcellandfiberdeploymentscontinuetopercolatetothetopofserviceprovideragendas,5Gdeploymentsremainontrackwith

3、priortimelines,andtheproliferationofintelligentedge,softwaredesignednetworksseemstobehelpingtotempertheprospectofupwardcapexpressure.Moreover,theextendedhandsetupgradecycleimpactingthebroadertelecomindustryremainsinplaceevidencedbycontinuedupgraderatepressureatbothAT&Tand

4、Verizon.TheEarningsRundown:VerizonguidedtothelowendofitsFY18capexbudgetcitingashiftinthecompositionofspendingtowardssmallcelldensification(vs.macrositeinvestmentsinprioryears)whileAT&Treiterateditsexpectationtoinvest$25Bn($22BnnetofFirstNetreimbursements)in2018,whichisupf

5、rom$21.5Bnand$20.6Bnin2016and2017,respectively.Incontrast,withthestablespendingtrendsnotedbylargeNorthAmericancarriers,commentarybytelecomequipmentvendorswassurprisinglyoptimistic.Indeed,bothEricssonandNokia(coveredbyourcolleagueAndrewGardiner)expectacceleratingbusinessin

6、NorthAmericain2Hasaresultof5Gwins.5GGainingMomentum:EchoingcommentaryfromVerizon,CrownCastlenotedthatallfourwirelesscarriersaredeployingsmallcellsinthetopmarketsacrossthecountry.Whileashiftincarriercapexspendingtowardsdensification(fiber/smallcells)hasconcernedsomeinvesto

7、rsthatmacrositespendingcouldmoderate,CrownCastlereportedhealthyresultsinitsmacrositebusiness.HandsetUpgradeRatesRemainTempered:BothAT&TandVerizonreportedtemperedsmartphoneupgradesfor2Q18,withatotalof8.5Munitsonacombinedbasis,down8%Y/Yandthelowestupgradelevelinsevenyears.S

8、martphoneactivationscontinuedtheirdownwardtrendsasthetwocarrierssoldatotalof13.3Munitsin2Q18,a5%

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