usda agricultural projections to 2023：美国农业部农业预测2023

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1、UnitedStatesDepartmentofAgricultureOfficeoftheChiefEconomistWorldAgriculturalOutlookBoardLong-termProjectionsReportOCE-2014-1February2014USDAAgriculturalProjectionsto2023InteragencyAgriculturalProjectionsCommitteeWorldAgriculturalOutlookBoard,ChairEconomicResearchServiceFarmS

2、erviceAgencyForeignAgriculturalServiceAgriculturalMarketingServiceOfficeoftheChiefEconomistOfficeofBudgetandProgramAnalysisRiskManagementAgencyNaturalResourcesConservationServiceNationalInstituteofFoodandAgricultureUSDALong-termProjectionsLong-termProjectionsontheInternetUSDA

3、AgriculturalProjectionsto2023isavailableinbothpdfandMicrosoftWordformatsat:www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/projections/andalsoat:www.ers.usda.gov/publications/oce-usda-agricultural-projections/oce141.aspxDatafromthenewUSDAlong-termprojectionsareavailableelectronicallyat:usda.mannl

4、ib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewDocumentInfo.do?documentID=1192InformationonUSDA’slong-termprojectionsprocessmaybefoundat:www.ers.usda.gov/topics/farm-economy/agricultural-baseline-projections/usdas-long-term-projections-process.aspxUSDAAgriculturalProjectionsto2023.OfficeoftheCh

5、iefEconomist,WorldAgriculturalOutlookBoard,U.S.DepartmentofAgriculture.PreparedbytheInteragencyAgriculturalProjectionsCommittee.Long-termProjectionsReportOCE-2014-1,97pp.AbstractThisreportprovidesprojectionsfortheagriculturalsectorto2023.Projectionscoveragriculturalcommoditie

6、s,agriculturaltrade,andaggregateindicatorsofthesector,suchasfarm income.Theprojectionsarebasedonspecificassumptionsaboutmacroeconomicconditions,policy,weather,andinternationaldevelopments,withnodomesticor externalshockstoglobalagriculturalmarkets.The2008FarmActwasassumedtobee

7、xtendedandremainineffectthroughtheprojectionperiod.Theprojectionsareonerepresentativescenariofortheagriculturalsectorforthenextdecadeandreflectacompositeofmodelresultsandjudgment-basedanalyses.The projectionsinthisreportwerepreparedduringOctoberthroughDecember2013and,thus,don

8、otreflectthesubsequentlyenactedAgriculturalActof2014.Inthenearterm,t