2017年12月环太平洋经济监测

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1、PacificEconomicMonitorDecember2017www.adb.org/pacmonitorTheMonitorprovidesanupdateofThisissueofthePacificEconomicMonitorisdedicatedtothememoryofMaliedevelopmentsinPacificeconomiesandLototele,senioreconomicsofficerinADB’sPacificSubregionalOffice,whosadlyexplorestopicalpolicyiss

2、ues.passedawayon9November2017.MaliewasalongtimememberofthePacificEconomicMonitorteamandhiscontributionswillbegreatlymissed.The teamsendsourdeepestcondolencestohisfamilyandfriends.Tofa,Malie.ContentsHighlights1Theeconomicsetting3Countryeconomicissues5BUILDINGRESILIENCETOCLIM

3、ATECHANGEPolicybriefs:BuildingResiliency:ClimatechangeExtremerainfalleventsareHigherincreasesintemperaturesanddisaster riskmanagementprojectedtooccuronceevery4–10yearsby2090Consistentwarming(+0.08–0.20ºC)inthePacific21overthepast50years(vs.onceevery20yearsinFinancialresil

4、iencetodisasters:1986–2005)SignificantlymoreAtoolkit23hotdaysandwarmnightsby2030UrbansolidwastemanagementtowardsclimatechangemitigationinTimor-Leste25HigherannualaverageMoreintenseeffectsofrainfallinthePacificElNiño/LaNiñaEconomicindicators28Sealevelsexpectedtoriseby0.26–

5、0.98metersby2100Highlights(from1986-2005levels)Recentglobaleconomicgainsdampenedbyloomingrisks.Withbetter-than-expectedmomentuminthefirsthalfof 2017,higherworldeconomicgrowthisLOW-CARBONCLIMATE-RESILIENTnowprojectedforthefullyearandin2018.DEVELOPMENTINFRASTRUCTUREHowever,m

6、edium-termriskssuchastighterCO2•Climatechangeadaptationand•Climate-proofinfrastructuremonetarypolicy,inward-lookingpolicies,disasterriskmanagementandurbandevelopmentmainstreamedintonationalplanning•Updatedbuildingcodesandpersistentlylowinflationinadvanced•Renewableenergy•Co

7、astalprotectioneconomiespersist.•Solidwastemanagement•PropertyinsuranceClimatechangeadaptationanddisasterINNOVATIVEAPPROACHESDIALOGUEANDriskmanagement.DespiteitsrelativelyKNOWLEDGESHARINGlowcontributiontothecausesofclimate•Contingentfinancingfromdevelopmentpartners•Regiona

8、lcooperationandchange,thePacificisparticularlyvulnerablecoordinationtoitseffectsandisstepp