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1、基于系统科学的环太平洋垃圾带经济影响测算报告黎韬唐国君黄东亮AbstractWemainlytalkthetrash-filledgyresintheNorthPacificanditseffectonthesurroundingfishesinthisarticle,thenfurtherevaluateonhumanbodyinthelongterm.Beforebuildingourmodel,wehavestudiedmanyresearchmaterialsconcerningthedistributionandconsist
2、encyofplasticsinthemarine,withthesematerials,wecansubstantiallydefinethecomponentanddistributionofcontamination,butwefindthatthereislittileresearchaboutthecontentsoftheseplasticsandhowenterthehumanbody.Therefore,webuildamodelconcerningthebioaccumulationofplasticsanditstr
3、ansferringinthefoodchainbasedonthepaperofC.J.Moore.Onthebasisofthemethodofsamplingandthesampledatainthearticle“AcomparisonofPlasticandPlanktonintheNorthPacificCentralGyre”,weabstracttheactualfoodchainintofourlevels,andchosethetypicalmodelintheNorthPacific:plankton→clupeo
4、ids→cods→humanbeings.InviewofthefactthatthemainplastictrashdetectedinMoore’spaperisPCBs,wechosePCBsasourmainobjectofstudy.Nowalltheassumptionsandprerequisitesofourmodelisadequate,webuildourmodelpointtothebioaccumulationofplastictrashinfishafterthemodelLogisterconcerningp
5、opulationgrowth.Wefindthatthereisarelationshiopbetweentheconsistencyofplasticinthemarineandinfish,afteraperiodoftime,theplasticconsistencyinfishwillreachabalance,thentheseplasticwillpassonfromoneclasstoanother,finallywecanestimatetheamountofplasticamantakeinbythiswayis65
6、2mgaccordingtotheamountoffishamaneateveryyear,comparingthisdatawiththeresultofmedicalresearch,wecanconcludethattheplasticaccumulatedinhumanbodyhasaseriouseffectonhumanbeing,especiallythecarcinogenicaction,suchasthelivercancerandthelungcancer,anditshasnegativeeffectonthen
7、ervoussystemandthesecretorysystem.Inviewoftheabove,wesuggestthatourgovernmentshouldregimenttheproductionofpoisonousplasticandintensifyingtheeffortstolarge-scaleplasticrecyclingandcentralizedprocessingforthepurposeofpreventingplasticparticleentertheenvironmentdirectly.项目简
8、介最近的一项深入太平洋涡旋进行的科学探险,揭露出大量与处理这些垃圾碎片相关的科技问题。科学界首次发现这些垃圾碎片(尤其是塑料制品)在北太平洋海域中密集出现。科学界同时也发现这些垃圾碎片对海洋生态,对人类的福