彼得森经济研究所-美国生产力复兴的案例

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1、POLICYBRIEFthatthelong-rungrowthrateofrealGDPcouldexceed2.517-26TheCasepercent,asignificantpickupfromcurrentrates.1foranAmericanThisoutcomeismorelikelyinthecontextofasupportivepolicyenvironment.Tofostersuchanenvironment,theProductivityRevivalfederalgovernment

2、shouldexpanditssupportforbasicscien-tificresearch;allowmoreimmigrationbyhighlyskilledscien-tists,engineers,andentrepreneurs;andpreserveAmerica’sLeeBranstetterandDanielSichellongstandingcommitmenttoopentradeandinvestmentJune2017policies.Itshouldalsostrengthent

3、hesafetynetratherthanparebacksupportforworkersdisplacedbytheinnovationsthatwilldrivefutureproductivitygrowth.AdditionalpolicyLeeBranstetterisaprofessorofeconomicsandpublicpolicyatCarnegieMellonUniversityandanonresidentseniorfellowinterventions(describedinthis

4、PolicyBrief)arerequiredtoatthePetersonInstituteforInternationalEconomics.Danieltakefulladvantageofneweducationaltechnologies.IftheySichelisaprofessorofeconomicsatWellesleyCollege.TheythankDavidByrne,RobertGordon,RobinMcKnight,Stephenavoidpolicyerrors,Presiden

5、tTrumporhissuccessorcouldOliner,RobertSolow,SteveWeisman,andtheseniorfellowshavethegoodfortuneofpresidingoveraproductivityrevival.ofthePetersonInstituteforhelpfulcomments.Sichelreceivedmaterialfinancialsupportoverthepastyearforrelatedpro-ductivityandpricemeas

6、urementresearchfromtheFederalHISTORICALUPSANDDOWNSOFReserveBankofBoston,wherehewasavisitingscholar,aswellasfromtheBureauofEconomicAnalysisandtheNationalPRODUCTIVITYGROWTHTelecommunicationsandInformationAdministration.Recentweakperformanceofproductivityhaspers

7、uaded©PetersonInstituteforInternationalEconomics.manyobserversthattheeconomyfacesableak“newAllrightsreserved.2normal.”AccordingtoRobertGordon(aleadingproduc-tivityexpertandprofessorofeconomicsatNorthwesternLaborproductivityperformanceintheUnitedStateshasUnive

8、rsity),theimpactoftoday’sdigitalinnovationscannotbeendismalformorethanadecade.Butproductivitycomparewiththefundamentaltechnologicaldevelopmentsslowdowns—evenlengthyones—arenothingnewinUS(