全面二孩政策下学龄人口变动对基础教育资源配置的影响研究.pdf

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1、乳，ＩＰ．看，．．靴巧妈Ｖ／．軒＼．ｍ：疑．議＾Ｉ之１．嚇擊，？．巧成乂净．賺．？．＇｜、＇：１、１；ｒｊ＇＊‘．＿．，１．、、；Ｊ＇＇＇．Ｉ入ｗ！．ＸＸＪＬ．；马ＴＴｐｓＩＪｒ＾＼ｙＪ’｛＾论交；：、，獅硕±学：，．１Ｊ；肆诵＂＂取：：全面二孩敕策下学齡人口变动，胃对基碱教育资源廳覺的影贿研究游祭端、韻麵凝．福ｍ．．＾’．二．－诚拖文作著巧＊概臟誦０鱗獅：率諸，親．九：进菊．麵学科专业：脯法学．．诚护．＇．‘＇扩．硏究方向：教育政錐，马靖片．，：

2、；掉啤；ｖ；，斬譯＾＜＾嚷．＾．．．２０１６＾４＾１００．？＾说撫＾＇＇、！产＇／絶文避辩Ｘ－’曰斯；２狂１６年５月２５目，；Ｔ叩相；嗎＾‘．．．举位授予单位！西南大学：．於Ｖ旬，／‘Ｉ巧宾萃中顏？塞庆就气．共产．■■■－■■＞Ｖ．－．Ｌ．．．．．涵Ｉ．■．■ｉ．＞．？－又：；．■：一■■量；：■又＾．■；；＞—专＾■＇．■■：＾．．－．．■＊■－Ｕ、■■＂：、Ｖ独创性声明；学位论文题目：三

3、全３＾娘诚１、沒游／、、２音斋＾锋滅坤邸為＼研本人提交的学位论文是在导师指导下进行的研究工作及取得的究成果。论文中引用他人已经发表或出版过的研究成果，文中已加了特别标注。对本研究及学位论文撰写曾做出贡献的老师、朋友、同？仁在文中作了明确说明并表示衷必感谢。学化论文作者：签字曰期：＾年７？／戶月八曰学位论文版权使用授权书本学｛乂论文作者完全了解西南大学有关傑留、使用学位论文的规定，有权保留并向国家有关部口或机构送交论文的复印件和磁盘，允论许文论文被查阅和借阔。本人授权西南大学研究生院（筹）可Ｗ将学位的全部

4、或部分内容编入有关数据库进行检秦，可Ｗ采用影印、缩印或扫描等复制手段保存、汇编学位论文。口（保密的学位论文在解密后适巧本搜权书，本论文．保密，保密期限至年月止）。学位论文作者签杂：搞豕令Ｊ导师签名：，签字日期：占年（／Ｃ－月作日签字日期：弘年作月户日１—１一．目录摘要····························································································································

5、·········IABSTRACT·······················································································································III绪论····································································································································1（一）

6、问题提出·······································································································1（二）概念界定·······································································································2（三）文献述评····················································

7、···················································5（四）研究设计·····································································································11一、“全面二孩”政策下基础教育学龄人口变动的预测··········································15（一）“全面二孩”政策下基础教育学龄人口预测的思路与方法····················

8、15（二）“全面二孩”政策下基础教育学龄人口变动的预测结果························1