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1、JournalofWaterResourcesResearch水资源研究,2014,3(1),41-49http://dx.doi.org/10.12677/jwrr.2014.31007PublishedOnlineFebruary2014(http://www.hanspub.org/journal/jwrr.html)CharacteristicsandInfluencesofPrecipitationTendencyinFoshanunderEnvironmentalVariations1,211111*Ning
2、ningShi,JiayiLiu,YanliangKuang,YueyingZhou,QiangLiao,ZufaLiu1CenterofWaterResourcesandEnvironment,SunYat-senUniversity,Guangzhou2NanjingWaterPlanningandDesigningInstituteCo.Ltd,Nanjing*Email:eeslzf@mail.sysu.edu.cnthththReceived:Sep.30,2013;revised:Nov.20,2013;ac
3、cepted:Nov.26,2013Copyright©2014NingningShietal.ThisisanopenaccessarticledistributedundertheCreativeCommonsAttributionLicense,whichpermitsunrestricteduse,distribution,andreproductioninanymedium,providedtheoriginalworkisproperlycited.InaccordanceoftheCreativeCommo
4、nsAttributionLicenseallCopyrights©2014arereservedforHansandtheowneroftheintellectualpropertyNingningShietal.AllCopyright©2014areguardedbylawandbyHansasaguardian.Abstract:PrecipitationdataofmainprecipitationstationsofFoshan’s5zonesduring1956-2010areana-lyzedbyThie
5、ssenPolygonstoexploretheaveragemonthlyprecipitationofFoshan.Themethodoflinearre-gressionisusedtodetectthevariationcharacteristicsofmonthlyandquarterlyprecipitation.ThemethodofmovingaverageandMann-Kendallareusedtoexplorethevariationtendency,significanceandmutation
6、de-tectionofFoshan’sprecipitationduringthose50years.Combinedwiththevariationofclimaticenvironment,theseconclusionsaredrawn:theprecipitationofFoshanisgettinghigherduring1956-2010,andamutationofrisingwasdetectedin1997;Foshan’sannualaverageprecipitationispositivelyc
7、orrelatedwiththeannualaveragetemperatureofGuangdong;theprecipitationofsummerismainlycontrolledbyurbanheatislandcausedbyhumanactivities.Noregularpatternisdetectedinannualvariationofextremeprecipitation.Keywords:Foshan;EnvironmentalVariation;PrecipitationCharacteri
8、stics;Influences;TendencyAnalysis变化环境下的佛山降雨趋势特征及影响因素分析1,211111*施宁宁,刘嘉仪,邝燕良,周月英,廖强,刘祖发1中山大学水资源与环境研究中心,广州2南京市水利规划设计院有限责任公司,南京*Email:eeslzf@mail.sysu.edu.cn收稿日期:2